The Bank of Russia’s September 11 hold at 14% after ten prior cuts, coupled with Governor Nabiullina’s emphasis on elevated underlying inflation (now 5–6% annualized) from fuel-price and refinery-capacity shocks, anchors trader expectations for another pause on October 23. Moderately tight monetary conditions, persistent inflation expectations, and uncertainty over the government’s updated medium-term budget projections—due by month-end—have reinforced the view that further easing requires clearer evidence of disinflation resuming. A modest probability of a cut persists if incoming data show one-off effects fading quickly, while any hike remains remote absent a sharp deterioration in price or fiscal dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNo Change 75%
Decrease 23%
Increase 3.4%
$35,872 Vol.
$35,872 Vol.
23 oct. 2026
Decrease
23%
No Change
75%
Increase
3%
No Change 75%
Decrease 23%
Increase 3.4%
$35,872 Vol.
$35,872 Vol.
23 oct. 2026
Decrease
$10,314 Vol.
23%
No Change
$13,070 Vol.
75%
Increase
$12,488 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Bank of Russia’s September 11 hold at 14% after ten prior cuts, coupled with Governor Nabiullina’s emphasis on elevated underlying inflation (now 5–6% annualized) from fuel-price and refinery-capacity shocks, anchors trader expectations for another pause on October 23. Moderately tight monetary conditions, persistent inflation expectations, and uncertainty over the government’s updated medium-term budget projections—due by month-end—have reinforced the view that further easing requires clearer evidence of disinflation resuming. A modest probability of a cut persists if incoming data show one-off effects fading quickly, while any hike remains remote absent a sharp deterioration in price or fiscal dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Jul 24, 2026, 11:59 AM ET
Volume
$35,872Date de fin
23 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 11:59 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Bank of Russia’s September 11 hold at 14% after ten prior cuts, coupled with Governor Nabiullina’s emphasis on elevated underlying inflation (now 5–6% annualized) from fuel-price and refinery-capacity shocks, anchors trader expectations for another pause on October 23. Moderately tight monetary conditions, persistent inflation expectations, and uncertainty over the government’s updated medium-term budget projections—due by month-end—have reinforced the view that further easing requires clearer evidence of disinflation resuming. A modest probability of a cut persists if incoming data show one-off effects fading quickly, while any hike remains remote absent a sharp deterioration in price or fiscal dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Volume
$35,872Date de fin
23 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 11:59 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Russia’s September 11 hold at 14% after ten prior cuts, coupled with Governor Nabiullina’s emphasis on elevated underlying inflation (now 5–6% annualized) from fuel-price and refinery-capacity shocks, anchors trader expectations for another pause on October 23. Moderately tight monetary conditions, persistent inflation expectations, and uncertainty over the government’s updated medium-term budget projections—due by month-end—have reinforced the view that further easing requires clearer evidence of disinflation resuming. A modest probability of a cut persists if incoming data show one-off effects fading quickly, while any hike remains remote absent a sharp deterioration in price or fiscal dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La Banque d'Israël ne modifiera-t-elle pas le taux d'intérêt de la Banque d'Israël après la décision d'octobre ?
76%
Oui
La Banque de Russie annoncera-t-elle une baisse de 25 points de base lors de la réunion de décembre 2026 ?
36%
Oui
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Oui
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