Alexia Putellas leads the Women's Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 61.5% implied probability following her standout 2025/26 campaign, where she delivered key goals and assists for a Barcelona side that secured a quadruple including the Women's Champions League title. The midfielder's return to peak form, combined with Aitana Bonmati's prolonged absence due to a broken leg that excluded the three-time winner from the 30-player shortlist announced September 8, has shaped trader consensus around Putellas as the frontrunner ahead of the October 26 ceremony in London. Mid-tier contenders such as Caroline Graham Hansen, Ewa Pajor, Claudia Pina, and Mariona Caldentey sit lower amid Barcelona's dominance, while attackers like Khadija Shaw, Pernille Harder, and Melchie Dumornay reflect strong individual outputs at Manchester City, Bayern Munich, and Lyon. Lower probabilities for players including Patri Guijarro and Aitana Bonmati align with limited recent impact or injury-related gaps.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWomen's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Alexia Putellas 62%
Ewa Pajor 52%
Caroline Graham Hansen 52%
Claudia Pina 52%
Alexia Putellas
62%
Ewa Pajor
52%
Caroline Graham Hansen
52%
Claudia Pina
52%
Mariona Caldentey
50%
Lea Schuller
50%
Salma Paralluelo
50%
Vicky Lopez
50%
Temwa Chawinga
50%
Sofia Cantore
50%
Alessia Russo
48%
Lucy Bronze
48%
Sandy Baltimore
48%
Barbra Banda
48%
Hannah Hampton
48%
Lindsey Heaps
46%
Patri Guijarro
29%
Klara Buhl
29%
Chloe Kelly
29%
Aitana Bonmati
9%
Alexia Putellas 62%
Ewa Pajor 52%
Caroline Graham Hansen 52%
Claudia Pina 52%
Alexia Putellas
62%
Ewa Pajor
52%
Caroline Graham Hansen
52%
Claudia Pina
52%
Mariona Caldentey
50%
Lea Schuller
50%
Salma Paralluelo
50%
Vicky Lopez
50%
Temwa Chawinga
50%
Sofia Cantore
50%
Alessia Russo
48%
Lucy Bronze
48%
Sandy Baltimore
48%
Barbra Banda
48%
Hannah Hampton
48%
Lindsey Heaps
46%
Patri Guijarro
29%
Klara Buhl
29%
Chloe Kelly
29%
Aitana Bonmati
9%
If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Alexia Putellas leads the Women's Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 61.5% implied probability following her standout 2025/26 campaign, where she delivered key goals and assists for a Barcelona side that secured a quadruple including the Women's Champions League title. The midfielder's return to peak form, combined with Aitana Bonmati's prolonged absence due to a broken leg that excluded the three-time winner from the 30-player shortlist announced September 8, has shaped trader consensus around Putellas as the frontrunner ahead of the October 26 ceremony in London. Mid-tier contenders such as Caroline Graham Hansen, Ewa Pajor, Claudia Pina, and Mariona Caldentey sit lower amid Barcelona's dominance, while attackers like Khadija Shaw, Pernille Harder, and Melchie Dumornay reflect strong individual outputs at Manchester City, Bayern Munich, and Lyon. Lower probabilities for players including Patri Guijarro and Aitana Bonmati align with limited recent impact or injury-related gaps.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions