The UAE’s continued participation in GCC initiatives, including coordination on a unified tourist visa set for rollout in 2026 and joint infrastructure projects such as electricity and logistics interconnections, underpins the 94% trader consensus against departure. UAE officials have explicitly ruled out further withdrawals from regional bodies following the April 2026 OPEC exit, which stemmed from specific production-quota disputes rather than a broader rejection of Gulf institutions. Recent diplomatic activity, including UAE statements at the June 2026 GCC-US ministerial meeting emphasizing collective security consultation and participation in September 2026 forums on regional integration, signals sustained commitment to the bloc for economic diversification, investment flows, and coordinated responses to external pressures. No official announcements or procedural steps toward exit have emerged, consistent with historical patterns of GCC durability despite occasional bilateral frictions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
6% chance
$100,518 Vol.
$100,518 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
6% chance
$100,518 Vol.
$100,518 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UAE’s continued participation in GCC initiatives, including coordination on a unified tourist visa set for rollout in 2026 and joint infrastructure projects such as electricity and logistics interconnections, underpins the 94% trader consensus against departure. UAE officials have explicitly ruled out further withdrawals from regional bodies following the April 2026 OPEC exit, which stemmed from specific production-quota disputes rather than a broader rejection of Gulf institutions. Recent diplomatic activity, including UAE statements at the June 2026 GCC-US ministerial meeting emphasizing collective security consultation and participation in September 2026 forums on regional integration, signals sustained commitment to the bloc for economic diversification, investment flows, and coordinated responses to external pressures. No official announcements or procedural steps toward exit have emerged, consistent with historical patterns of GCC durability despite occasional bilateral frictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Volume
$100,518End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UAE’s continued participation in GCC initiatives, including coordination on a unified tourist visa set for rollout in 2026 and joint infrastructure projects such as electricity and logistics interconnections, underpins the 94% trader consensus against departure. UAE officials have explicitly ruled out further withdrawals from regional bodies following the April 2026 OPEC exit, which stemmed from specific production-quota disputes rather than a broader rejection of Gulf institutions. Recent diplomatic activity, including UAE statements at the June 2026 GCC-US ministerial meeting emphasizing collective security consultation and participation in September 2026 forums on regional integration, signals sustained commitment to the bloc for economic diversification, investment flows, and coordinated responses to external pressures. No official announcements or procedural steps toward exit have emerged, consistent with historical patterns of GCC durability despite occasional bilateral frictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$100,518End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The UAE’s continued participation in GCC initiatives, including coordination on a unified tourist visa set for rollout in 2026 and joint infrastructure projects such as electricity and logistics interconnections, underpins the 94% trader consensus against departure. UAE officials have explicitly ruled out further withdrawals from regional bodies following the April 2026 OPEC exit, which stemmed from specific production-quota disputes rather than a broader rejection of Gulf institutions. Recent diplomatic activity, including UAE statements at the June 2026 GCC-US ministerial meeting emphasizing collective security consultation and participation in September 2026 forums on regional integration, signals sustained commitment to the bloc for economic diversification, investment flows, and coordinated responses to external pressures. No official announcements or procedural steps toward exit have emerged, consistent with historical patterns of GCC durability despite occasional bilateral frictions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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