The top four seeds have reached the US Open women's semifinals for the first time since 1975, setting up Aryna Sabalenka against Jessica Pegula and new world No. 1 Elena Rybakina against Coco Gauff on September 10. Sabalenka enters with strong recent hard-court results and a dominant head-to-head edge over Pegula, though the American has shown improved baseline consistency. Rybakina secured the No. 1 ranking with a straight-sets quarterfinal win and brings superior serving metrics, while Gauff demonstrated resilience by rallying from match points in her win over Mirra Andreeva. Weather on Arthur Ashe Stadium and any late injury updates from the short turnaround could influence the two matches that determine the September 12 final participants.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$34,317 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
64%
Coco Gauff
51%
Elena Rybakina
48%
Jessica Pegula
37%
$34,317 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
64%
Coco Gauff
51%
Elena Rybakina
48%
Jessica Pegula
37%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The top four seeds have reached the US Open women's semifinals for the first time since 1975, setting up Aryna Sabalenka against Jessica Pegula and new world No. 1 Elena Rybakina against Coco Gauff on September 10. Sabalenka enters with strong recent hard-court results and a dominant head-to-head edge over Pegula, though the American has shown improved baseline consistency. Rybakina secured the No. 1 ranking with a straight-sets quarterfinal win and brings superior serving metrics, while Gauff demonstrated resilience by rallying from match points in her win over Mirra Andreeva. Weather on Arthur Ashe Stadium and any late injury updates from the short turnaround could influence the two matches that determine the September 12 final participants.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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