Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for UFC: Islam Makhachev Next Fight

UFC: Islam Makhachev Next Fight

icon for UFC: Islam Makhachev Next Fight

UFC: Islam Makhachev Next Fight

Carlos Prates 90%

Michael Morales 48%

Sean Brady 48%

Polymarket
NEW

Carlos Prates 90%

Michael Morales 48%

Sean Brady 48%

Polymarket
NEW

Carlos Prates

$107 Vol.

88%

Michael Morales

$0 Vol.

48%

Sean Brady

$0 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Islam Makhachev is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Islam Makhachev is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by August 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.**Carlos Prates holds an overwhelming edge in the market for Islam Makhachev’s next welterweight title defense.** Following Makhachev’s August 15, 2026, unanimous-decision win over Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330, the champion and his camp have repeatedly singled out Prates as the most deserving and active contender. Prates enters with three straight stoppage victories, including knockouts of Leon Edwards and Jack Della Maddalena, and has publicly claimed the UFC promised him the shot. Makhachev’s stated preference for a December or January bout before Ramadan aligns with Prates’ availability and momentum. While Michael Morales remains an alternative, Prates’ combination of recent form, finishing ability, and direct champion endorsement drives the heavy trader consensus. Late injuries, UFC scheduling shifts, or a surprise Morales rematch could still alter the timeline.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Islam Makhachev is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Islam Makhachev is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by August 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Islam Makhachev is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Islam Makhachev is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by August 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$107
Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Islam Makhachev is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Islam Makhachev is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by August 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.**Carlos Prates holds an overwhelming edge in the market for Islam Makhachev’s next welterweight title defense.** Following Makhachev’s August 15, 2026, unanimous-decision win over Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330, the champion and his camp have repeatedly singled out Prates as the most deserving and active contender. Prates enters with three straight stoppage victories, including knockouts of Leon Edwards and Jack Della Maddalena, and has publicly claimed the UFC promised him the shot. Makhachev’s stated preference for a December or January bout before Ramadan aligns with Prates’ availability and momentum. While Michael Morales remains an alternative, Prates’ combination of recent form, finishing ability, and direct champion endorsement drives the heavy trader consensus. Late injuries, UFC scheduling shifts, or a surprise Morales rematch could still alter the timeline.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Islam Makhachev is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Islam Makhachev is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by August 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Islam Makhachev is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Islam Makhachev is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by August 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$107
Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 7:49 PM ET

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"UFC: Islam Makhachev Next Fight" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Prates" at 88%, followed by "Michael Morales" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"UFC: Islam Makhachev Next Fight" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "UFC: Islam Makhachev Next Fight," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UFC: Islam Makhachev Next Fight" is "Carlos Prates" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michael Morales" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UFC: Islam Makhachev Next Fight" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.