The tightly bunched implied probabilities reflect a wide-open race driven by several workhorse backs sharing goal-line carries in potent offenses early in the 2026 season. Breece Hall leads trader sentiment on the strength of the Jets’ run-first scheme and consistent red-zone volume, while Jahmyr Gibbs and Derrick Henry remain close behind thanks to their proven efficiency and high-touchdown upside in Detroit’s and Baltimore’s attacks. Rookies such as Ashton Jeanty and established options like Jonathan Taylor add volatility through favorable matchups and team schemes. Recent Week 1-2 rushing totals and injury reports continue to shift short-term probabilities without establishing a clear frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJahmyr Gibbs 26%
David Montgomery 23.8%
Ashton Jeanty 22.6%
Derrick Henry 20%
$15,226 Vol.
$15,226 Vol.
Jan 12, 2027
Jahmyr Gibbs
26%
David Montgomery
24%
Ashton Jeanty
23%
Derrick Henry
20%
Josh Allen
14%
Jonathan Taylor
10%
Zach Charbonnet
7%
Kenneth Walker III
5%
D'Andre Swift
5%
Chase Brown
5%
James Connor
5%
Quinshon Judkins
4%
James Cook III
4%
Breece Hall
4%
Josh Jacobs
3%
Bijan Robinson
3%
Christian McCaffrey
3%
Travis Etienne Jr.
3%
Jeremiyah Love
3%
Kyren Williams
2%
Kimani Vidal
2%
Cam Skattebo
2%
Saquon Barkley
2%
Omarion Hampton
2%
Javonte Williams
2%
Jalen Hurts
2%
Chuba Hubbard
1%
TreVeyon Henderson
1%
Joe Mixon
1%
De'Von Achane
1%
Bucky Irving
1%
J.K. Dobbins
1%
Jaxson Dart
1%
Rico Dowdle
1%
Jahmyr Gibbs 26%
David Montgomery 23.8%
Ashton Jeanty 22.6%
Derrick Henry 20%
$15,226 Vol.
$15,226 Vol.
Jan 12, 2027
Jahmyr Gibbs
$2,502 Vol.
26%
David Montgomery
$163 Vol.
24%
Ashton Jeanty
$125 Vol.
23%
Derrick Henry
$379 Vol.
20%
Josh Allen
$362 Vol.
14%
Jonathan Taylor
$439 Vol.
10%
Zach Charbonnet
$130 Vol.
7%
Kenneth Walker III
$281 Vol.
5%
D'Andre Swift
$484 Vol.
5%
Chase Brown
$115 Vol.
5%
James Connor
$125 Vol.
5%
Quinshon Judkins
$115 Vol.
4%
James Cook III
$271 Vol.
4%
Breece Hall
$130 Vol.
4%
Josh Jacobs
$6,293 Vol.
3%
Bijan Robinson
$214 Vol.
3%
Christian McCaffrey
$330 Vol.
3%
Travis Etienne Jr.
$236 Vol.
3%
Jeremiyah Love
$240 Vol.
3%
Kyren Williams
$128 Vol.
2%
Kimani Vidal
$125 Vol.
2%
Cam Skattebo
$178 Vol.
2%
Saquon Barkley
$338 Vol.
2%
Omarion Hampton
$195 Vol.
2%
Javonte Williams
$139 Vol.
2%
Jalen Hurts
$99 Vol.
2%
Chuba Hubbard
$116 Vol.
1%
TreVeyon Henderson
$135 Vol.
1%
Joe Mixon
$130 Vol.
1%
De'Von Achane
$120 Vol.
1%
Bucky Irving
$125 Vol.
1%
J.K. Dobbins
$130 Vol.
1%
Jaxson Dart
$120 Vol.
1%
Rico Dowdle
$215 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly bunched implied probabilities reflect a wide-open race driven by several workhorse backs sharing goal-line carries in potent offenses early in the 2026 season. Breece Hall leads trader sentiment on the strength of the Jets’ run-first scheme and consistent red-zone volume, while Jahmyr Gibbs and Derrick Henry remain close behind thanks to their proven efficiency and high-touchdown upside in Detroit’s and Baltimore’s attacks. Rookies such as Ashton Jeanty and established options like Jonathan Taylor add volatility through favorable matchups and team schemes. Recent Week 1-2 rushing totals and injury reports continue to shift short-term probabilities without establishing a clear frontrunner.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 3:31 PM ET
Volume
$15,226End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly bunched implied probabilities reflect a wide-open race driven by several workhorse backs sharing goal-line carries in potent offenses early in the 2026 season. Breece Hall leads trader sentiment on the strength of the Jets’ run-first scheme and consistent red-zone volume, while Jahmyr Gibbs and Derrick Henry remain close behind thanks to their proven efficiency and high-touchdown upside in Detroit’s and Baltimore’s attacks. Rookies such as Ashton Jeanty and established options like Jonathan Taylor add volatility through favorable matchups and team schemes. Recent Week 1-2 rushing totals and injury reports continue to shift short-term probabilities without establishing a clear frontrunner.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,226End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched implied probabilities reflect a wide-open race driven by several workhorse backs sharing goal-line carries in potent offenses early in the 2026 season. Breece Hall leads trader sentiment on the strength of the Jets’ run-first scheme and consistent red-zone volume, while Jahmyr Gibbs and Derrick Henry remain close behind thanks to their proven efficiency and high-touchdown upside in Detroit’s and Baltimore’s attacks. Rookies such as Ashton Jeanty and established options like Jonathan Taylor add volatility through favorable matchups and team schemes. Recent Week 1-2 rushing totals and injury reports continue to shift short-term probabilities without establishing a clear frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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