Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor faces no active criminal charges more than seven months after his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his prior role as UK trade envoy and contacts with Jeffrey Epstein. UK authorities released him under investigation the same day following property searches, with the Crown Prosecution Service holding sole authority to bring charges only if evidence meets the realistic prospect of conviction and public interest tests. The absence of any subsequent indictment or trial proceedings reflects the high evidentiary thresholds and procedural safeguards in such cases, underpinning traders' near-certain view that sentencing remains improbable. Potential shifts could arise from new disclosures prompting formal charges, though conviction and imprisonment would still require overcoming substantial legal and institutional barriers within any applicable resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2% chance
$222,175 Vol.
$222,175 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
2% chance
$222,175 Vol.
$222,175 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor faces no active criminal charges more than seven months after his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his prior role as UK trade envoy and contacts with Jeffrey Epstein. UK authorities released him under investigation the same day following property searches, with the Crown Prosecution Service holding sole authority to bring charges only if evidence meets the realistic prospect of conviction and public interest tests. The absence of any subsequent indictment or trial proceedings reflects the high evidentiary thresholds and procedural safeguards in such cases, underpinning traders' near-certain view that sentencing remains improbable. Potential shifts could arise from new disclosures prompting formal charges, though conviction and imprisonment would still require overcoming substantial legal and institutional barriers within any applicable resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volume
$222,175End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor faces no active criminal charges more than seven months after his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his prior role as UK trade envoy and contacts with Jeffrey Epstein. UK authorities released him under investigation the same day following property searches, with the Crown Prosecution Service holding sole authority to bring charges only if evidence meets the realistic prospect of conviction and public interest tests. The absence of any subsequent indictment or trial proceedings reflects the high evidentiary thresholds and procedural safeguards in such cases, underpinning traders' near-certain view that sentencing remains improbable. Potential shifts could arise from new disclosures prompting formal charges, though conviction and imprisonment would still require overcoming substantial legal and institutional barriers within any applicable resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$222,175End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor faces no active criminal charges more than seven months after his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his prior role as UK trade envoy and contacts with Jeffrey Epstein. UK authorities released him under investigation the same day following property searches, with the Crown Prosecution Service holding sole authority to bring charges only if evidence meets the realistic prospect of conviction and public interest tests. The absence of any subsequent indictment or trial proceedings reflects the high evidentiary thresholds and procedural safeguards in such cases, underpinning traders' near-certain view that sentencing remains improbable. Potential shifts could arise from new disclosures prompting formal charges, though conviction and imprisonment would still require overcoming substantial legal and institutional barriers within any applicable resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions