Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in the New Hampshire 2nd district race, backed by her strong primary performance against a progressive challenger and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls against Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams. The district’s D+2 partisan voter index and history of Democratic control since 2012 reinforce trader expectations, as does Goodlander’s fundraising edge and established name recognition following her 2024 victory in the same matchup. Williams, who secured her nomination with roughly 65 percent in the Republican primary, faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment. Late developments such as shifts in national political conditions, turnout surges, or unforeseen campaign events could narrow the margin, though current evidence points to limited immediate pathways for an upset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$16,693 Vol.
$16,693 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Maggie Goodlander (D)
93%
Lily Tang Williams (R)
7%
$16,693 Vol.
$16,693 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Maggie Goodlander (D)
$7,868 Vol.
93%
Lily Tang Williams (R)
$8,825 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in the New Hampshire 2nd district race, backed by her strong primary performance against a progressive challenger and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls against Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams. The district’s D+2 partisan voter index and history of Democratic control since 2012 reinforce trader expectations, as does Goodlander’s fundraising edge and established name recognition following her 2024 victory in the same matchup. Williams, who secured her nomination with roughly 65 percent in the Republican primary, faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment. Late developments such as shifts in national political conditions, turnout surges, or unforeseen campaign events could narrow the margin, though current evidence points to limited immediate pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$16,693End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in the New Hampshire 2nd district race, backed by her strong primary performance against a progressive challenger and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls against Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams. The district’s D+2 partisan voter index and history of Democratic control since 2012 reinforce trader expectations, as does Goodlander’s fundraising edge and established name recognition following her 2024 victory in the same matchup. Williams, who secured her nomination with roughly 65 percent in the Republican primary, faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment. Late developments such as shifts in national political conditions, turnout surges, or unforeseen campaign events could narrow the margin, though current evidence points to limited immediate pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,693End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in the New Hampshire 2nd district race, backed by her strong primary performance against a progressive challenger and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls against Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams. The district’s D+2 partisan voter index and history of Democratic control since 2012 reinforce trader expectations, as does Goodlander’s fundraising edge and established name recognition following her 2024 victory in the same matchup. Williams, who secured her nomination with roughly 65 percent in the Republican primary, faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment. Late developments such as shifts in national political conditions, turnout surges, or unforeseen campaign events could narrow the margin, though current evidence points to limited immediate pathways for an upset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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