Recent polling and primary results position Republican Kelly Ayotte as the strong favorite to retain the governorship against Democrat Cinde Warmington, with leads of 10-14 points in aggregates through mid-September. The U.S. Senate contest between Democrat Chris Pappas and Republican John E. Sununu remains far closer, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters after the September 8 primaries and recent surveys showing margins within or near the margin of error. Heavy Republican outside spending and a handful of tied polls have narrowed the Senate gap without shifting the governor outlook. Trader consensus therefore centers on the split outcome of a Republican governor and Democratic senator, as a full Republican sweep would require overcoming the Senate race's competitiveness while a Democratic sweep faces even steeper barriers given Ayotte's established lead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedReps win Gov, Dems win Senate 76%
Reps sweep 18%
Dems sweep 7%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 2.8%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2027
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
76%
Reps sweep
18%
Dems sweep
7%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
3%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 76%
Reps sweep 18%
Dems sweep 7%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 2.8%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2027
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$2,901 Vol.
76%
Reps sweep
$1,435 Vol.
18%
Dems sweep
$2,291 Vol.
7%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$293 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling and primary results position Republican Kelly Ayotte as the strong favorite to retain the governorship against Democrat Cinde Warmington, with leads of 10-14 points in aggregates through mid-September. The U.S. Senate contest between Democrat Chris Pappas and Republican John E. Sununu remains far closer, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters after the September 8 primaries and recent surveys showing margins within or near the margin of error. Heavy Republican outside spending and a handful of tied polls have narrowed the Senate gap without shifting the governor outlook. Trader consensus therefore centers on the split outcome of a Republican governor and Democratic senator, as a full Republican sweep would require overcoming the Senate race's competitiveness while a Democratic sweep faces even steeper barriers given Ayotte's established lead.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Volume
$6,920End Date
Apr 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling and primary results position Republican Kelly Ayotte as the strong favorite to retain the governorship against Democrat Cinde Warmington, with leads of 10-14 points in aggregates through mid-September. The U.S. Senate contest between Democrat Chris Pappas and Republican John E. Sununu remains far closer, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters after the September 8 primaries and recent surveys showing margins within or near the margin of error. Heavy Republican outside spending and a handful of tied polls have narrowed the Senate gap without shifting the governor outlook. Trader consensus therefore centers on the split outcome of a Republican governor and Democratic senator, as a full Republican sweep would require overcoming the Senate race's competitiveness while a Democratic sweep faces even steeper barriers given Ayotte's established lead.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$6,920End Date
Apr 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and primary results position Republican Kelly Ayotte as the strong favorite to retain the governorship against Democrat Cinde Warmington, with leads of 10-14 points in aggregates through mid-September. The U.S. Senate contest between Democrat Chris Pappas and Republican John E. Sununu remains far closer, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters after the September 8 primaries and recent surveys showing margins within or near the margin of error. Heavy Republican outside spending and a handful of tied polls have narrowed the Senate gap without shifting the governor outlook. Trader consensus therefore centers on the split outcome of a Republican governor and Democratic senator, as a full Republican sweep would require overcoming the Senate race's competitiveness while a Democratic sweep faces even steeper barriers given Ayotte's established lead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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