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icon for MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?
Sports·Home Runs

MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

icon for MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?
Sports·Home Runs

MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

40% chance
Polymarket
NEW
40% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No 4-homer game has occurred in the 2026 MLB regular season through late September, despite an unusually active 2025 that featured three such performances (Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Kyle Schwarber).** Historically, the feat has happened only 21 times across more than 150 years of MLB play, underscoring its rarity even in high-power environments. In 2026, top sluggers have posted multi-homer outings and strong home-run totals, but no batter has reached four in a single contest amid deeper bullpens, varied matchups, and pitching adjustments. With the regular season ending September 27, only a small number of remaining games limit opportunities, supporting traders' consensus that "No" carries the higher implied probability at this stage. Late surges by power hitters or favorable matchups could still shift dynamics before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,348
End Date
Oct 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No 4-homer game has occurred in the 2026 MLB regular season through late September, despite an unusually active 2025 that featured three such performances (Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Kyle Schwarber).** Historically, the feat has happened only 21 times across more than 150 years of MLB play, underscoring its rarity even in high-power environments. In 2026, top sluggers have posted multi-homer outings and strong home-run totals, but no batter has reached four in a single contest amid deeper bullpens, varied matchups, and pitching adjustments. With the regular season ending September 27, only a small number of remaining games limit opportunities, supporting traders' consensus that "No" carries the higher implied probability at this stage. Late surges by power hitters or favorable matchups could still shift dynamics before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,348
End Date
Oct 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 40% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 40¢, the market collectively assigns a 40% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?" is 40% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 40% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.