Taylor Fritz’s third-round exit at the 2026 US Open after straight-set wins in rounds one and two triggered exactly 5,500 Chipotle BOGO codes (2,500 + 3,000), placing the total squarely on the boundary between the two leading ranges. The market remains tightly contested because each subsequent round’s incremental cap—3,500 for round three, 4,000 for the round of 16, and higher thereafter—creates narrow gaps that straddle the 5,499/5,500 and 8,999/9,000 thresholds. With Fritz eliminated early, traders are now focused on claim-completion timing and any final code drops, keeping implied probabilities clustered as the promotion window closes. This setup underscores how a single match outcome can shift the aggregate across multiple price bins in a promotion directly scaled to singles advancement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated9,000–12,999 74%
13,000–17,499 74%
17,500–22,499 74%
32,500 or more 74%
Less than 2,500
20%
2,500–5,499
50%
5,500–8,999
50%
9,000–12,999
74%
13,000–17,499
74%
17,500–22,499
74%
22,500–32,499
37%
32,500 or more
74%
9,000–12,999 74%
13,000–17,499 74%
17,500–22,499 74%
32,500 or more 74%
Less than 2,500
20%
2,500–5,499
50%
5,500–8,999
50%
9,000–12,999
74%
13,000–17,499
74%
17,500–22,499
74%
22,500–32,499
37%
32,500 or more
74%
If the event is not completed by September 29, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Chipotle (https://newsroom.chipotle.com) and Taylor Fritz's official Instagram account (@taylor_fritz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://newsroom.chipotle.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the event is not completed by September 29, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Chipotle (https://newsroom.chipotle.com) and Taylor Fritz's official Instagram account (@taylor_fritz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://newsroom.chipotle.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Fritz’s third-round exit at the 2026 US Open after straight-set wins in rounds one and two triggered exactly 5,500 Chipotle BOGO codes (2,500 + 3,000), placing the total squarely on the boundary between the two leading ranges. The market remains tightly contested because each subsequent round’s incremental cap—3,500 for round three, 4,000 for the round of 16, and higher thereafter—creates narrow gaps that straddle the 5,499/5,500 and 8,999/9,000 thresholds. With Fritz eliminated early, traders are now focused on claim-completion timing and any final code drops, keeping implied probabilities clustered as the promotion window closes. This setup underscores how a single match outcome can shift the aggregate across multiple price bins in a promotion directly scaled to singles advancement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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