Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader
Sports·Golf

DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader

icon for DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader
Sports·Golf

DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Adrian Meronk 74%

Alex Fitzpatrick 74%

Liam Nolan 74%

Luke Donald 74%

Polymarket
NEW

Adrian Meronk 74%

Alex Fitzpatrick 74%

Liam Nolan 74%

Luke Donald 74%

Polymarket
NEW

Adrian Meronk

$0 Vol.

74%

Alex Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

74%

Liam Nolan

$0 Vol.

74%

Luke Donald

$0 Vol.

74%

Marcus Helligkilde

$0 Vol.

74%

Matt Wallace

$0 Vol.

74%

Matthew Jordan

$0 Vol.

74%

Max Kennedy

$0 Vol.

74%

Oihan Guillamoundeguy

$0 Vol.

74%

Oliver Lindell

$0 Vol.

74%

Pablo Larrazabal

$0 Vol.

74%

Ashun Wu

$0 Vol.

74%

Ben Schmidt

$0 Vol.

74%

Brooks Koepka

$0 Vol.

74%

Daniel Bradbury

$0 Vol.

74%

Daniel Gavins

$0 Vol.

74%

Dylan Frittelli

$0 Vol.

74%

Harry Hall

$0 Vol.

74%

Hennie Du Plessis

$0 Vol.

74%

Ignacio Elvira

$0 Vol.

74%

Jacob Skov Olesen

$0 Vol.

74%

Joaquin Niemann

$0 Vol.

74%

Jordan Smith

$0 Vol.

74%

Joseph Dean

$0 Vol.

74%

Eddie Pepperell

$0 Vol.

74%

Ewen Ferguson

$0 Vol.

74%

Frankie Capan

$0 Vol.

74%

Freddy Schott

$0 Vol.

74%

Guido Migliozzi

$0 Vol.

74%

Haotong Li

$0 Vol.

74%

J. C. Ritchie

$0 Vol.

74%

Johannes Veerman

$0 Vol.

74%

John Catlin

$0 Vol.

74%

Jon Rahm

$0 Vol.

74%

Jordan Gumberg

$0 Vol.

74%

Andy Sullivan

$0 Vol.

74%

Angel Ayora

$0 Vol.

74%

Calum Hill

$0 Vol.

74%

Danny Willett

$0 Vol.

74%

Darius van Driel

$0 Vol.

74%

Davis Bryant

$0 Vol.

74%

Francesco Molinari

$0 Vol.

74%

Martin Couvra

$0 Vol.

74%

Michael Hollick

$0 Vol.

74%

Nathan Kimsey

$0 Vol.

74%

Jung-Hwan Lee

$0 Vol.

74%

Kazuma Kobori

$0 Vol.

74%

Laurie Canter

$0 Vol.

74%

Marcus Armitage

$0 Vol.

74%

Nicolai von Dellingshausen

$0 Vol.

74%

Nicolai Hoejgaard

$0 Vol.

73%

Patrick Reed

$0 Vol.

73%

David Ravetto

$0 Vol.

73%

Maximilian Steinlechner

$0 Vol.

73%

Julien Guerrier

$0 Vol.

73%

Paul Waring

$0 Vol.

73%

Manuel Elvira

$0 Vol.

19%

Marcel Schneider

$0 Vol.

19%

Mikael Lindberg

$0 Vol.

19%

Casey Jarvis

$0 Vol.

19%

Daniel Hillier

$0 Vol.

19%

David Micheluzzi

$0 Vol.

19%

Frederic Lacroix

$0 Vol.

19%

Jayden Schaper

$0 Vol.

19%

Jeff Winther

$0 Vol.

19%

Joakim Lagergren

$0 Vol.

19%

Erik van Rooyen

$0 Vol.

19%

Grant Forrest

$0 Vol.

19%

Jens Dantorp

$0 Vol.

19%

Connor Syme

$0 Vol.

19%

David Puig

$0 Vol.

19%

Niklas Noergaard

$0 Vol.

19%

Padraig Harrington

$0 Vol.

19%

Kiradech Aphibarnrat

$0 Vol.

18%

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

$0 Vol.

17%

Kota Kaneko

$0 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Irish Open with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 37% for a large group of DP World Tour players in the Irish Open first-round leader market reflect the inherent unpredictability of a single 18-hole session across a deep professional field. Course setup, variable Irish weather, and daily form swings allow multiple golfers—including recent performers like Jon Rahm, Joaquin Niemann, and Adrian Meronk—to post low scores without a clear edge. Head-to-head history and recent results show no dominant recent form or matchup advantage sufficient to separate contenders, while the long list of players at lower pricing highlights realistic upset potential from solid ball-strikers or putters on any given day. This consensus pricing captures the wisdom of crowds on the competitive balance typical of European Tour opening rounds.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Irish Open with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Irish Open with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 11:12 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.europeantour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Irish Open with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 37% for a large group of DP World Tour players in the Irish Open first-round leader market reflect the inherent unpredictability of a single 18-hole session across a deep professional field. Course setup, variable Irish weather, and daily form swings allow multiple golfers—including recent performers like Jon Rahm, Joaquin Niemann, and Adrian Meronk—to post low scores without a clear edge. Head-to-head history and recent results show no dominant recent form or matchup advantage sufficient to separate contenders, while the long list of players at lower pricing highlights realistic upset potential from solid ball-strikers or putters on any given day. This consensus pricing captures the wisdom of crowds on the competitive balance typical of European Tour opening rounds.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Irish Open with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Irish Open with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 11:12 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.europeantour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Adrian Meronk lead the 2026 Irish Open following the second round?

Will Adrian Meronk lead the 2026 Irish Open following the second round?

37%
icon for Will Adrian Meronk lead the 2026 Irish Open following the third round?

Will Adrian Meronk lead the 2026 Irish Open following the third round?

37%
icon for Will Padraig Harrington win the 2026 Irish Open?

Will Padraig Harrington win the 2026 Irish Open?

36%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 100+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Adrian Meronk" at 37%, followed by "Alex Fitzpatrick" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader," browse the 100+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader" is "Adrian Meronk" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alex Fitzpatrick" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.