Chud the Builder, the controversial IRL streamer Dalton Eatherly, faces attempted murder and related felony charges from a May 2026 courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, where he claims self-defense after an altercation. The case remains in pre-trial stages with both matters sent to a grand jury, no trial date set, and Eatherly released on $1 million bond in August under house arrest and monitoring. Traders see the 56% implied probability on “No” conviction as reflecting the tight July 2027 resolution window, typical delays in violent felony proceedings, and the strength of his self-defense narrative amid surveillance footage disputes. Key upcoming catalysts include any grand jury decisions or plea negotiations that could shift momentum before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Chud the Builder, the controversial IRL streamer Dalton Eatherly, faces attempted murder and related felony charges from a May 2026 courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, where he claims self-defense after an altercation. The case remains in pre-trial stages with both matters sent to a grand jury, no trial date set, and Eatherly released on $1 million bond in August under house arrest and monitoring. Traders see the 56% implied probability on “No” conviction as reflecting the tight July 2027 resolution window, typical delays in violent felony proceedings, and the strength of his self-defense narrative amid surveillance footage disputes. Key upcoming catalysts include any grand jury decisions or plea negotiations that could shift momentum before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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