Arsenal enter 2026-27 as defending champions with elite defensive structure, midfield depth after additions like Bruno Guimaraes, and an unbeaten early-season run that positions them as title favorites, making Manchester City the consensus runner-up choice at 34.5% implied probability. City maintain strong squad quality around Erling Haaland despite the managerial shift to Enzo Maresca and heavy summer spending including Enzo Fernandez, supporting their 34.5% market share. Chelsea sit at 16.5% on the back of major investment and a new manager, while Manchester United at 11.5% benefit from recent structural gains. Liverpool trail at 9.5% amid transitional form under their new coach. These probabilities reflect traders’ assessment of squad continuity, early results, and transition risks across the top clubs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedManchester City 35%
Chelsea 17%
Arsenal 15%
Manchester United 12%
$10,439 Vol.
$10,439 Vol.
Manchester City
35%
Chelsea
17%
Arsenal
24%
Manchester United
12%
Liverpool
10%
Aston Villa
5%
Tottenham Hotspur
4%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1%
Coventry City
1%
Everton
1%
Fulham
1%
Newcastle United
1%
Nottingham Forest
1%
Sunderland
1%
Brentford
1%
Leeds United
1%
Bournemouth
<1%
Crystal Palace
<1%
Hull City
<1%
Ipswich Town
<1%
Manchester City 35%
Chelsea 17%
Arsenal 15%
Manchester United 12%
$10,439 Vol.
$10,439 Vol.
Manchester City
35%
Chelsea
17%
Arsenal
24%
Manchester United
12%
Liverpool
10%
Aston Villa
5%
Tottenham Hotspur
4%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1%
Coventry City
1%
Everton
1%
Fulham
1%
Newcastle United
1%
Nottingham Forest
1%
Sunderland
1%
Brentford
1%
Leeds United
1%
Bournemouth
<1%
Crystal Palace
<1%
Hull City
<1%
Ipswich Town
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Premier League for the 2026-27 season per the rules of Premier League (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.premierleague.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Premier League for the 2026-27 season per the rules of Premier League (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.premierleague.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Arsenal enter 2026-27 as defending champions with elite defensive structure, midfield depth after additions like Bruno Guimaraes, and an unbeaten early-season run that positions them as title favorites, making Manchester City the consensus runner-up choice at 34.5% implied probability. City maintain strong squad quality around Erling Haaland despite the managerial shift to Enzo Maresca and heavy summer spending including Enzo Fernandez, supporting their 34.5% market share. Chelsea sit at 16.5% on the back of major investment and a new manager, while Manchester United at 11.5% benefit from recent structural gains. Liverpool trail at 9.5% amid transitional form under their new coach. These probabilities reflect traders’ assessment of squad continuity, early results, and transition risks across the top clubs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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