The tightly bunched probabilities for the 2026-27 Ligue 1 runner-up reflect PSG's continued dominance as title favorites, which opens a wide field for second place among clubs with comparable squad depth and no dominant challenger. Early-season results have scattered points across multiple sides, with Rennes, Monaco, Lyon, Lille, Strasbourg, and Paris FC occupying the top positions after the opening matchweeks while established names such as Lens, Nice, and Brest remain in the mix. Pre-season models highlighted Lens and Lille as leading contenders for the best-of-the-rest spot, yet recent form, managerial changes, and fixture outcomes have prevented any single team from pulling clear. This parity sustains the market's even distribution, as traders price in the league's historical unpredictability below PSG and the absence of a clear hierarchy among the chasing pack.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAuxerre 49.5%
Strasbourg 50%
Troyes 49%
Le Havre 48.6%
Auxerre
50%
Strasbourg
50%
Troyes
49%
Le Havre
49%
Lorient
49%
Le Mans
49%
Angers
48%
Nice
48%
Brest
48%
Lens
48%
Rennes
48%
Toulouse
48%
Marseille
47%
Lille
46%
Paris Saint-Germain
30%
Paris FC
22%
Lyon
48%
Monaco
47%
Auxerre 49.5%
Strasbourg 50%
Troyes 49%
Le Havre 48.6%
Auxerre
50%
Strasbourg
50%
Troyes
49%
Le Havre
49%
Lorient
49%
Le Mans
49%
Angers
48%
Nice
48%
Brest
48%
Lens
48%
Rennes
48%
Toulouse
48%
Marseille
47%
Lille
46%
Paris Saint-Germain
30%
Paris FC
22%
Lyon
48%
Monaco
47%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.ligue1.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.ligue1.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched probabilities for the 2026-27 Ligue 1 runner-up reflect PSG's continued dominance as title favorites, which opens a wide field for second place among clubs with comparable squad depth and no dominant challenger. Early-season results have scattered points across multiple sides, with Rennes, Monaco, Lyon, Lille, Strasbourg, and Paris FC occupying the top positions after the opening matchweeks while established names such as Lens, Nice, and Brest remain in the mix. Pre-season models highlighted Lens and Lille as leading contenders for the best-of-the-rest spot, yet recent form, managerial changes, and fixture outcomes have prevented any single team from pulling clear. This parity sustains the market's even distribution, as traders price in the league's historical unpredictability below PSG and the absence of a clear hierarchy among the chasing pack.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions