Malcolm Todd’s “Earrings” leads trader sentiment at 61% implied probability due to its sustained dominance on US Spotify charts through mid-2026, including a June #1 peak with streams surging nearly 70% in a single day and consistent top-three placement into September. Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need” follows at 31.5%, reflecting its strong but secondary US streaming trajectory and prior international success. Older tracks and newer releases sit near even money or lower because year-end Spotify Wrapped data favors songs with cumulative 2026 volume rather than brief spikes. Traders are watching final-quarter chart updates and any late releases that could close the gap before the December lock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated#2 US Spotify Song 2026
#2 US Spotify Song 2026
Earrings – Malcom Todd 61%
Man I Need – Olivia Dean 32%
Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson <1%
Choosin Texas – Ella Langley <1%
$44,527 Vol.
$44,527 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Earrings – Malcom Todd
61%
Man I Need – Olivia Dean
32%
Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson
<1%
Choosin Texas – Ella Langley
<1%
Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars
<1%
Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj
<1%
Risk It All – Bruno Mars
<1%
APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars
<1%
Billie Jean – Michael Jackson
<1%
hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande
<1%
Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy
<1%
Swim – BTS
<1%
Earrings – Malcom Todd 61%
Man I Need – Olivia Dean 32%
Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson <1%
Choosin Texas – Ella Langley <1%
$44,527 Vol.
$44,527 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Earrings – Malcom Todd
$13,393 Vol.
61%
Man I Need – Olivia Dean
$26,884 Vol.
32%
Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson
$448 Vol.
<1%
Choosin Texas – Ella Langley
$195 Vol.
<1%
Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars
$548 Vol.
<1%
Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo
$317 Vol.
<1%
Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj
$195 Vol.
<1%
Risk It All – Bruno Mars
$679 Vol.
<1%
APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars
$269 Vol.
<1%
Billie Jean – Michael Jackson
$616 Vol.
<1%
hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande
$285 Vol.
<1%
Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy
$315 Vol.
<1%
Swim – BTS
$385 Vol.
<1%
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026.
This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026.
The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.
Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.Malcolm Todd’s “Earrings” leads trader sentiment at 61% implied probability due to its sustained dominance on US Spotify charts through mid-2026, including a June #1 peak with streams surging nearly 70% in a single day and consistent top-three placement into September. Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need” follows at 31.5%, reflecting its strong but secondary US streaming trajectory and prior international success. Older tracks and newer releases sit near even money or lower because year-end Spotify Wrapped data favors songs with cumulative 2026 volume rather than brief spikes. Traders are watching final-quarter chart updates and any late releases that could close the gap before the December lock.
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026.
This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026.
The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.
Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026.
The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.
Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$44,527End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026.
This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026.
The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.
Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.Malcolm Todd’s “Earrings” leads trader sentiment at 61% implied probability due to its sustained dominance on US Spotify charts through mid-2026, including a June #1 peak with streams surging nearly 70% in a single day and consistent top-three placement into September. Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need” follows at 31.5%, reflecting its strong but secondary US streaming trajectory and prior international success. Older tracks and newer releases sit near even money or lower because year-end Spotify Wrapped data favors songs with cumulative 2026 volume rather than brief spikes. Traders are watching final-quarter chart updates and any late releases that could close the gap before the December lock.
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026.
This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026.
The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.
Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026.
The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.
Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Volume
$44,527End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Malcolm Todd’s “Earrings” leads trader sentiment at 61% implied probability due to its sustained dominance on US Spotify charts through mid-2026, including a June #1 peak with streams surging nearly 70% in a single day and consistent top-three placement into September. Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need” follows at 31.5%, reflecting its strong but secondary US streaming trajectory and prior international success. Older tracks and newer releases sit near even money or lower because year-end Spotify Wrapped data favors songs with cumulative 2026 volume rather than brief spikes. Traders are watching final-quarter chart updates and any late releases that could close the gap before the December lock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions