The Chicago Bears’ stadium negotiations continue to center on two Illinois-adjacent sites—Arlington Heights and Hammond, Indiana—with no final selection or groundbreaking timeline announced as of mid-September 2026. Team president Kevin Warren has described Indiana due diligence as the “sole focus,” yet Illinois legislative and tax-break discussions remain active, and the club’s Soldier Field lease extends through 2033. Recent on-field developments, including quarterback Caleb Williams’ status and overall roster continuity heading into the 2026 season, have not altered the multi-year facility planning horizon. Traders price the “No” outcome at 83.5% because any relocation requires completed financing, approvals, and construction that cannot realistically conclude before year-end.