Reza Pahlavi remains in exile with no confirmed plans or conditions enabling his entry into Iran as of September 2026. Recent statements from the exiled opposition figure, including a September 20 address in Toronto, emphasized ongoing internal regime defections and opposition regrouping after earlier protests and clashes, while framing his role as facilitating a transition rather than immediate leadership. A September 16 message marking the Mahsa Amini anniversary reinforced continuity in the broader “Lion and Sun Revolution” without referencing personal return. Diplomatic outreach, such as accepting a September invitation to visit Australia, reflects external engagement but has drawn limited official endorsement. Persistent barriers include the Islamic Republic’s institutional continuity, reported lack of decisive U.S. support for transition scenarios, and security risks in a contested environment, keeping implied probabilities for near-term entry low amid trader focus on verifiable regime erosion or diplomatic shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$22,108,530 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre
4%
$22,108,530 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$2,499,739 Vol.
4%
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Reza Pahlavi remains in exile with no confirmed plans or conditions enabling his entry into Iran as of September 2026. Recent statements from the exiled opposition figure, including a September 20 address in Toronto, emphasized ongoing internal regime defections and opposition regrouping after earlier protests and clashes, while framing his role as facilitating a transition rather than immediate leadership. A September 16 message marking the Mahsa Amini anniversary reinforced continuity in the broader “Lion and Sun Revolution” without referencing personal return. Diplomatic outreach, such as accepting a September invitation to visit Australia, reflects external engagement but has drawn limited official endorsement. Persistent barriers include the Islamic Republic’s institutional continuity, reported lack of decisive U.S. support for transition scenarios, and security risks in a contested environment, keeping implied probabilities for near-term entry low amid trader focus on verifiable regime erosion or diplomatic shifts.
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Feb 18, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Volumen
$22,108,530Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 18, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Reza Pahlavi remains in exile with no confirmed plans or conditions enabling his entry into Iran as of September 2026. Recent statements from the exiled opposition figure, including a September 20 address in Toronto, emphasized ongoing internal regime defections and opposition regrouping after earlier protests and clashes, while framing his role as facilitating a transition rather than immediate leadership. A September 16 message marking the Mahsa Amini anniversary reinforced continuity in the broader “Lion and Sun Revolution” without referencing personal return. Diplomatic outreach, such as accepting a September invitation to visit Australia, reflects external engagement but has drawn limited official endorsement. Persistent barriers include the Islamic Republic’s institutional continuity, reported lack of decisive U.S. support for transition scenarios, and security risks in a contested environment, keeping implied probabilities for near-term entry low amid trader focus on verifiable regime erosion or diplomatic shifts.
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$22,108,530Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 18, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Reza Pahlavi remains in exile with no confirmed plans or conditions enabling his entry into Iran as of September 2026. Recent statements from the exiled opposition figure, including a September 20 address in Toronto, emphasized ongoing internal regime defections and opposition regrouping after earlier protests and clashes, while framing his role as facilitating a transition rather than immediate leadership. A September 16 message marking the Mahsa Amini anniversary reinforced continuity in the broader “Lion and Sun Revolution” without referencing personal return. Diplomatic outreach, such as accepting a September invitation to visit Australia, reflects external engagement but has drawn limited official endorsement. Persistent barriers include the Islamic Republic’s institutional continuity, reported lack of decisive U.S. support for transition scenarios, and security risks in a contested environment, keeping implied probabilities for near-term entry low amid trader focus on verifiable regime erosion or diplomatic shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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