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icon for ¿Corea del Norte y Corea del Sur entablarán conversaciones directas por...?

¿Corea del Norte y Corea del Sur entablarán conversaciones directas por...?

icon for ¿Corea del Norte y Corea del Sur entablarán conversaciones directas por...?

¿Corea del Norte y Corea del Sur entablarán conversaciones directas por...?

$119,139 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$119,139 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de diciembre

$35,387 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.North Korea's continued short-range ballistic missile launches, including two on September 20, 2026, underscore Pyongyang's focus on military capabilities amid stalled inter-Korean engagement. South Korean President Lee Jae Myung has repeatedly proposed direct talks on formally ending the Korean War and advancing a peace regime, while his unification minister has argued against requiring denuclearization as an initial precondition. U.S. President Trump has signaled openness to renewed personal diplomacy with Kim Jong-un later in 2026 and scaled back some joint military exercises with Seoul to facilitate dialogue, though North Korea has offered no concrete response to these overtures. Relations remain at historic lows, with Pyongyang rejecting most South Korean initiatives and prioritizing nuclear deterrence. Key upcoming catalysts include the Trump-Xi summit and potential U.S.-North Korea signals that could indirectly shape bilateral Korean Peninsula dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.

Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$119,139
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.North Korea's continued short-range ballistic missile launches, including two on September 20, 2026, underscore Pyongyang's focus on military capabilities amid stalled inter-Korean engagement. South Korean President Lee Jae Myung has repeatedly proposed direct talks on formally ending the Korean War and advancing a peace regime, while his unification minister has argued against requiring denuclearization as an initial precondition. U.S. President Trump has signaled openness to renewed personal diplomacy with Kim Jong-un later in 2026 and scaled back some joint military exercises with Seoul to facilitate dialogue, though North Korea has offered no concrete response to these overtures. Relations remain at historic lows, with Pyongyang rejecting most South Korean initiatives and prioritizing nuclear deterrence. Key upcoming catalysts include the Trump-Xi summit and potential U.S.-North Korea signals that could indirectly shape bilateral Korean Peninsula dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.

Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$119,139
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 8:08 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Corea del Norte y Corea del Sur entablarán conversaciones directas por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 18%, seguido de "30 de junio" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 18¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Corea del Norte y Corea del Sur entablarán conversaciones directas por...?" ha generado $119.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Corea del Norte y Corea del Sur entablarán conversaciones directas por...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Corea del Norte y Corea del Sur entablarán conversaciones directas por...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 18%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de junio" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Corea del Norte y Corea del Sur entablarán conversaciones directas por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.