**EUR/USD trades near 1.16 amid a narrowing but still-wide policy gap between the ECB and Fed.** The ECB’s September 10 hike of 25 basis points to a 2.50% deposit rate, driven by energy-price spikes from Middle East tensions lifting euro-area inflation above 3%, has supported the euro while markets price further tightening odds. In contrast, hotter U.S. core CPI and labor data have kept alive the possibility of a Fed move at the upcoming FOMC meeting, sustaining a roughly 100–150 basis-point rate advantage for the dollar. Traders are watching whether additional ECB tightening materializes and how quickly U.S. inflation moderates, as these shifts directly influence the interest-rate differential that has anchored EUR/USD near current levels through much of 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$89,288 Vol.
↑ 1,40
2%
↑ 1,35
3%
↑ 1,30
6%
↑ 1,26
6%
↑ 1,24
9%
↑ 1,22
28%
↑ 1,20
31%
↓ 1,12
30%
↓ 1,10
23%
↓ 1,05
5%
↓ 1.00
4%
$89,288 Vol.
↑ 1,40
2%
↑ 1,35
3%
↑ 1,30
6%
↑ 1,26
6%
↑ 1,24
9%
↑ 1,22
28%
↑ 1,20
31%
↓ 1,12
30%
↓ 1,10
23%
↓ 1,05
5%
↓ 1.00
4%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Mercado abierto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**EUR/USD trades near 1.16 amid a narrowing but still-wide policy gap between the ECB and Fed.** The ECB’s September 10 hike of 25 basis points to a 2.50% deposit rate, driven by energy-price spikes from Middle East tensions lifting euro-area inflation above 3%, has supported the euro while markets price further tightening odds. In contrast, hotter U.S. core CPI and labor data have kept alive the possibility of a Fed move at the upcoming FOMC meeting, sustaining a roughly 100–150 basis-point rate advantage for the dollar. Traders are watching whether additional ECB tightening materializes and how quickly U.S. inflation moderates, as these shifts directly influence the interest-rate differential that has anchored EUR/USD near current levels through much of 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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