Recent polling shows both the Texas gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races as toss-ups heading into the November election, with Greg Abbott and Gina Hinojosa running within a few points for governor while Ken Paxton and James Talarico remain nearly tied for Senate. Shifting independent support, regional divides, and voter priorities on affordability, border security, and state issues have kept margins narrow across multiple surveys. This competitive environment sustains high trader consensus on split-ticket outcomes and the broad "Other" category, while lowering probabilities for unified sweeps. Forecasters rate both contests as highly uncertain, with limited separation expected absent major late developments such as turnout shifts or economic changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoReps ganan gobernador, Dems ganan Senado 43%
Victoria total de los republicanos 32%
Arrase demócrata 24%
Dems ganan gobernador, reps ganan Senado 1.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Reps ganan gobernador, Dems ganan Senado
43%
Victoria total de los republicanos
32%
Arrase demócrata
24%
Dems ganan gobernador, reps ganan Senado
1%
Reps ganan gobernador, Dems ganan Senado 43%
Victoria total de los republicanos 32%
Arrase demócrata 24%
Dems ganan gobernador, reps ganan Senado 1.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Reps ganan gobernador, Dems ganan Senado
$2,462 Vol.
43%
Victoria total de los republicanos
$1,322 Vol.
32%
Arrase demócrata
$1,180 Vol.
24%
Dems ganan gobernador, reps ganan Senado
$357 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling shows both the Texas gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races as toss-ups heading into the November election, with Greg Abbott and Gina Hinojosa running within a few points for governor while Ken Paxton and James Talarico remain nearly tied for Senate. Shifting independent support, regional divides, and voter priorities on affordability, border security, and state issues have kept margins narrow across multiple surveys. This competitive environment sustains high trader consensus on split-ticket outcomes and the broad "Other" category, while lowering probabilities for unified sweeps. Forecasters rate both contests as highly uncertain, with limited separation expected absent major late developments such as turnout shifts or economic changes.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volumen
$5,320Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling shows both the Texas gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races as toss-ups heading into the November election, with Greg Abbott and Gina Hinojosa running within a few points for governor while Ken Paxton and James Talarico remain nearly tied for Senate. Shifting independent support, regional divides, and voter priorities on affordability, border security, and state issues have kept margins narrow across multiple surveys. This competitive environment sustains high trader consensus on split-ticket outcomes and the broad "Other" category, while lowering probabilities for unified sweeps. Forecasters rate both contests as highly uncertain, with limited separation expected absent major late developments such as turnout shifts or economic changes.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$5,320Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows both the Texas gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races as toss-ups heading into the November election, with Greg Abbott and Gina Hinojosa running within a few points for governor while Ken Paxton and James Talarico remain nearly tied for Senate. Shifting independent support, regional divides, and voter priorities on affordability, border security, and state issues have kept margins narrow across multiple surveys. This competitive environment sustains high trader consensus on split-ticket outcomes and the broad "Other" category, while lowering probabilities for unified sweeps. Forecasters rate both contests as highly uncertain, with limited separation expected absent major late developments such as turnout shifts or economic changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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