In Girona, a province allocating six Congress seats, the race remains tight because recent CEO polling shows the PSC (PSOE affiliate) narrowly ahead of ERC in direct voting intention, with Junts further behind amid independentist fragmentation. The early election call after the October housing decree defeat, combined with ongoing debates over amnesty, Catalan language policy, and housing, has kept local priorities dominant over national trends favoring PP and Vox elsewhere. PSOE’s 2023 provincial win provides incumbency advantages in turnout and swing voter mobilization, while ERC’s organizational push and Junts’ positioning create volatility. Trader prices near 47.5% for PSOE reflect this balanced contest, with separation likely hinging on final-week mobilization and any late shifts in the independence electorate before the November 29 vote.