Mike Mazzei secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma governor after a narrow August 2026 runoff victory over Attorney General Gentner Drummond, aided by President Trump’s endorsement, substantial self-funding, and outside support. Oklahoma’s consistent Republican dominance in statewide races, including a 34-point Trump margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus around his 92.5% implied probability against Democratic nominee Cyndi Munson. Munson, the House minority leader, won her primary decisively but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the governorship since 2011. Low-probability shifts could arise from major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout surges before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Oklahoma
$29,637 Vol.
$29,637 Vol.

Mike Mazzei (R)
93%

Cyndi Munson (D)
7%
$29,637 Vol.
$29,637 Vol.

Mike Mazzei (R)
93%

Cyndi Munson (D)
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Mazzei secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma governor after a narrow August 2026 runoff victory over Attorney General Gentner Drummond, aided by President Trump’s endorsement, substantial self-funding, and outside support. Oklahoma’s consistent Republican dominance in statewide races, including a 34-point Trump margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus around his 92.5% implied probability against Democratic nominee Cyndi Munson. Munson, the House minority leader, won her primary decisively but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the governorship since 2011. Low-probability shifts could arise from major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout surges before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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