Morena holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 2027 Mexican legislative election due to sustained polling advantages of 35-46% intention to vote, well ahead of PAN and PRI, reflecting its strong territorial organization, high party identification, and continuity from the 2024 coalition success. The officialist bloc of Morena, PVEM, and PT benefits from unified control of the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum and fragmented opposition parties contesting separately. Recent surveys through August-September 2026 confirm this positioning ahead of the formal process start on September 10. A unified opposition alliance or significant internal Morena setbacks from candidate disputes and state-level governance issues remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited near-term shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMorena 91.3%
PAN 6.3%
PRI 2.3%
MC <1%
$103,806 Vol.
$103,806 Vol.
5 jun 2027
Morena
91%
PAN
6%
PRI
2%
MC
<1%
PT
<1%
PVEM
<1%
Morena 91.3%
PAN 6.3%
PRI 2.3%
MC <1%
$103,806 Vol.
$103,806 Vol.
5 jun 2027
Morena
$56,644 Vol.
91%
PAN
$17,547 Vol.
6%
PRI
$8,469 Vol.
2%
MC
$8,875 Vol.
<1%
PT
$6,129 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$6,141 Vol.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 2027 Mexican legislative election due to sustained polling advantages of 35-46% intention to vote, well ahead of PAN and PRI, reflecting its strong territorial organization, high party identification, and continuity from the 2024 coalition success. The officialist bloc of Morena, PVEM, and PT benefits from unified control of the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum and fragmented opposition parties contesting separately. Recent surveys through August-September 2026 confirm this positioning ahead of the formal process start on September 10. A unified opposition alliance or significant internal Morena setbacks from candidate disputes and state-level governance issues remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited near-term shifts.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volumen
$103,806Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2027Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 2027 Mexican legislative election due to sustained polling advantages of 35-46% intention to vote, well ahead of PAN and PRI, reflecting its strong territorial organization, high party identification, and continuity from the 2024 coalition success. The officialist bloc of Morena, PVEM, and PT benefits from unified control of the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum and fragmented opposition parties contesting separately. Recent surveys through August-September 2026 confirm this positioning ahead of the formal process start on September 10. A unified opposition alliance or significant internal Morena setbacks from candidate disputes and state-level governance issues remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited near-term shifts.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volumen
$103,806Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2027Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 2027 Mexican legislative election due to sustained polling advantages of 35-46% intention to vote, well ahead of PAN and PRI, reflecting its strong territorial organization, high party identification, and continuity from the 2024 coalition success. The officialist bloc of Morena, PVEM, and PT benefits from unified control of the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum and fragmented opposition parties contesting separately. Recent surveys through August-September 2026 confirm this positioning ahead of the formal process start on September 10. A unified opposition alliance or significant internal Morena setbacks from candidate disputes and state-level governance issues remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited near-term shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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