The Federal Reserve's unanimous September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00 percent, coupled with projections signaling additional hikes this year, has anchored the recent rise in 5-year Treasury yields to approximately 4.81-4.86 percent. Elevated inflation, with August PCE readings near 3.6-3.7 percent and core measures above the 2 percent goal, resilient economic growth, and elevated term premiums tied to fiscal deficits and Treasury supply have supported higher medium-term rates. The 5-year yield has climbed over 100 basis points year-over-year amid these dynamics. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, fresh CPI and PCE releases, and labor market data that could shift rate expectations and yield trajectories through year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$25,837 Vol.
30 dic 2026
5,25%
20%
5,10%
53%
5,00%
61%
4,95%
65%
4,90%
49%
$25,837 Vol.
5,25%
$4,090 Vol.
20%
5,10%
$7,105 Vol.
53%
5,00%
$5,392 Vol.
61%
4,95%
$1,295 Vol.
65%
4,90%
$2,034 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The Federal Reserve's unanimous September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00 percent, coupled with projections signaling additional hikes this year, has anchored the recent rise in 5-year Treasury yields to approximately 4.81-4.86 percent. Elevated inflation, with August PCE readings near 3.6-3.7 percent and core measures above the 2 percent goal, resilient economic growth, and elevated term premiums tied to fiscal deficits and Treasury supply have supported higher medium-term rates. The 5-year yield has climbed over 100 basis points year-over-year amid these dynamics. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, fresh CPI and PCE releases, and labor market data that could shift rate expectations and yield trajectories through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$25,837Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The Federal Reserve's unanimous September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00 percent, coupled with projections signaling additional hikes this year, has anchored the recent rise in 5-year Treasury yields to approximately 4.81-4.86 percent. Elevated inflation, with August PCE readings near 3.6-3.7 percent and core measures above the 2 percent goal, resilient economic growth, and elevated term premiums tied to fiscal deficits and Treasury supply have supported higher medium-term rates. The 5-year yield has climbed over 100 basis points year-over-year amid these dynamics. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, fresh CPI and PCE releases, and labor market data that could shift rate expectations and yield trajectories through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volumen
$25,837Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
The Federal Reserve's unanimous September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00 percent, coupled with projections signaling additional hikes this year, has anchored the recent rise in 5-year Treasury yields to approximately 4.81-4.86 percent. Elevated inflation, with August PCE readings near 3.6-3.7 percent and core measures above the 2 percent goal, resilient economic growth, and elevated term premiums tied to fiscal deficits and Treasury supply have supported higher medium-term rates. The 5-year yield has climbed over 100 basis points year-over-year amid these dynamics. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, fresh CPI and PCE releases, and labor market data that could shift rate expectations and yield trajectories through year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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