The tight distribution of probabilities across the 110-130 million turnout range for the 2026 House elections stems from uncertainty over voter enthusiasm and mobilization in a midterm cycle. Key influences include the competitiveness of battleground districts, the impact of economic conditions and major policy debates on participation rates, and historical patterns of lower midterm turnout compared with presidential years. Early voting data, demographic engagement trends, and any late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals or high-profile endorsements could shift expectations. Traders weigh these variables against base turnout levels from recent cycles when assessing likely totals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2026 Parciales: participación en la casa
2026 Parciales: participación en la casa
125-130 millones 23%
115-120 millones 21%
120-125 millones 19%
110-115 millones 16%
$28,182 Vol.
$28,182 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<85 millones
1%
85-90 millones
<1%
90-95 millones
1%
95-100 millones
3%
100-105 millones
6%
105-110 millones
7%
110-115 millones
16%
115-120 millones
21%
120-125 millones
19%
125-130 millones
23%
130 millones o más
5%
125-130 millones 23%
115-120 millones 21%
120-125 millones 19%
110-115 millones 16%
$28,182 Vol.
$28,182 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<85 millones
$603 Vol.
1%
85-90 millones
$609 Vol.
<1%
90-95 millones
$1,723 Vol.
1%
95-100 millones
$380 Vol.
3%
100-105 millones
$1,195 Vol.
6%
105-110 millones
$931 Vol.
7%
110-115 millones
$4,475 Vol.
16%
115-120 millones
$4,662 Vol.
21%
120-125 millones
$8,991 Vol.
19%
125-130 millones
$3,301 Vol.
23%
130 millones o más
$1,312 Vol.
5%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The tight distribution of probabilities across the 110-130 million turnout range for the 2026 House elections stems from uncertainty over voter enthusiasm and mobilization in a midterm cycle. Key influences include the competitiveness of battleground districts, the impact of economic conditions and major policy debates on participation rates, and historical patterns of lower midterm turnout compared with presidential years. Early voting data, demographic engagement trends, and any late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals or high-profile endorsements could shift expectations. Traders weigh these variables against base turnout levels from recent cycles when assessing likely totals.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volumen
$28,182Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The tight distribution of probabilities across the 110-130 million turnout range for the 2026 House elections stems from uncertainty over voter enthusiasm and mobilization in a midterm cycle. Key influences include the competitiveness of battleground districts, the impact of economic conditions and major policy debates on participation rates, and historical patterns of lower midterm turnout compared with presidential years. Early voting data, demographic engagement trends, and any late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals or high-profile endorsements could shift expectations. Traders weigh these variables against base turnout levels from recent cycles when assessing likely totals.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volumen
$28,182Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight distribution of probabilities across the 110-130 million turnout range for the 2026 House elections stems from uncertainty over voter enthusiasm and mobilization in a midterm cycle. Key influences include the competitiveness of battleground districts, the impact of economic conditions and major policy debates on participation rates, and historical patterns of lower midterm turnout compared with presidential years. Early voting data, demographic engagement trends, and any late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals or high-profile endorsements could shift expectations. Traders weigh these variables against base turnout levels from recent cycles when assessing likely totals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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