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icon for Welche Partei gewinnt weiße Frauen in den Midterms?
Politik·Umfrage

Welche Partei gewinnt weiße Frauen in den Midterms?

icon for Welche Partei gewinnt weiße Frauen in den Midterms?
Politik·Umfrage

Welche Partei gewinnt weiße Frauen in den Midterms?

Polymarket
NEU
Polymarket
NEU
icon for Demokraten

Demokraten

$981 Vol.

59%

icon for Republikaner

Republikaner

$894 Vol.

34%

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent polling shows Democrats holding a modest edge among white women on the generic congressional ballot, reflecting broader dissatisfaction with Republican leadership and President Trump's declining approval ratings among female voters. Surveys from Pew and Bellwether indicate women overall favor Democratic House candidates by double digits in some samples, with white women showing narrower but consistent Democratic leans compared to 2024 results when Republicans carried the group. Factors sustaining the close contest include persistent Republican strength among married and white Christian women, economic priorities, and turnout patterns in suburban districts. The race remains sensitive to late-cycle developments such as candidate messaging on pocketbook issues and any shifts in enthusiasm ahead of the November 3 vote, which will be measured by national exit polling.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.

This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.

In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.

In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.

In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.

If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$1,875
Enddatum
6. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent polling shows Democrats holding a modest edge among white women on the generic congressional ballot, reflecting broader dissatisfaction with Republican leadership and President Trump's declining approval ratings among female voters. Surveys from Pew and Bellwether indicate women overall favor Democratic House candidates by double digits in some samples, with white women showing narrower but consistent Democratic leans compared to 2024 results when Republicans carried the group. Factors sustaining the close contest include persistent Republican strength among married and white Christian women, economic priorities, and turnout patterns in suburban districts. The race remains sensitive to late-cycle developments such as candidate messaging on pocketbook issues and any shifts in enthusiasm ahead of the November 3 vote, which will be measured by national exit polling.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.

This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.

In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.

In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.

In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.

If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$1,875
Enddatum
6. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen ältere Frauen gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen ältere Frauen gewinnen?

73%
Ja
icon for Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen die Latino-Männer für sich gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen die Latino-Männer für sich gewinnen?

87%
Ja
icon for Werden die Republikaner junge Männer bei den Zwischenwahlen gewinnen?

Werden die Republikaner junge Männer bei den Zwischenwahlen gewinnen?

63%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Welche Partei gewinnt weiße Frauen in den Midterms?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Demokraten" mit 59%, gefolgt von „Republikaner" mit 34%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 59¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 59% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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