**Avengers: Doomsday's record early presales—already exceeding $50 million three months before its December 18 release—drive the 62% market-implied odds, reflecting strong trader consensus around its Avengers event status, multiverse scale, and marketing momentum that includes the most-viewed MCU trailer ever.** Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 39% after posting a franchise- and year-leading $360 million domestic opening in July, establishing a high bar but facing the challenge of an earlier, non-ensemble release. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah trail at 0.1% each due to narrower franchise appeal and Dune's direct holiday-weekend competition with Doomsday. Upcoming tracking updates and final presale surges before December will likely determine whether Doomsday overtakes the current benchmark.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 39%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$154,377 Vol.
$154,377 Vol.
Avengers: Doomsday
63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
39%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 39%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$154,377 Vol.
$154,377 Vol.
Avengers: Doomsday
63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
39%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Avengers: Doomsday's record early presales—already exceeding $50 million three months before its December 18 release—drive the 62% market-implied odds, reflecting strong trader consensus around its Avengers event status, multiverse scale, and marketing momentum that includes the most-viewed MCU trailer ever.** Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 39% after posting a franchise- and year-leading $360 million domestic opening in July, establishing a high bar but facing the challenge of an earlier, non-ensemble release. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah trail at 0.1% each due to narrower franchise appeal and Dune's direct holiday-weekend competition with Doomsday. Upcoming tracking updates and final presale surges before December will likely determine whether Doomsday overtakes the current benchmark.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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