Ongoing US-backed negotiations between Venezuela’s interim government under acting President Delcy Rodríguez and opposition representatives, launched in August 2026, represent the central driver of market pricing on the timing of the next presidential election. These talks focus on CNE and TSJ reforms, voter registry updates, and guarantees for political participation ahead of any vote. Opposition leaders including María Corina Machado continue pressing for a firm calendar, with public calls for elections by late 2027 at latest, while some US figures such as Senator Bernie Moreno advocate specifically for July 24, 2027. The government emphasizes stabilization first and has not set a date, leaving the constitutional 2030–2031 horizon in tension with demands for earlier balloting. Upcoming dialogue rounds and any CNE appointments could shift probabilities on whether a schedule emerges in 2026 or 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$622,695 Vol.
31. Dezember
16%
$622,695 Vol.
31. Dezember
16%
To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.
This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Abwickler
0x65070BE91...To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.
This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-backed negotiations between Venezuela’s interim government under acting President Delcy Rodríguez and opposition representatives, launched in August 2026, represent the central driver of market pricing on the timing of the next presidential election. These talks focus on CNE and TSJ reforms, voter registry updates, and guarantees for political participation ahead of any vote. Opposition leaders including María Corina Machado continue pressing for a firm calendar, with public calls for elections by late 2027 at latest, while some US figures such as Senator Bernie Moreno advocate specifically for July 24, 2027. The government emphasizes stabilization first and has not set a date, leaving the constitutional 2030–2031 horizon in tension with demands for earlier balloting. Upcoming dialogue rounds and any CNE appointments could shift probabilities on whether a schedule emerges in 2026 or 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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