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icon for Wahlsieger bei der Bezirksrichterwahl in Penghu
Politik·Taiwan

Wahlsieger bei der Bezirksrichterwahl in Penghu

icon for Wahlsieger bei der Bezirksrichterwahl in Penghu
Politik·Taiwan

Wahlsieger bei der Bezirksrichterwahl in Penghu

Chen Chen-chung 77%

Wu Shu-chin 15%

Yeh Chu-lin 3.8%

Chou Ni-an 3.6%

Polymarket

$10,458 Vol.

Chen Chen-chung 77%

Wu Shu-chin 15%

Yeh Chu-lin 3.8%

Chou Ni-an 3.6%

Polymarket

$10,458 Vol.

icon for Chen Chen-chung

Chen Chen-chung

$3,186 Vol.

77%

icon for Wu Shu-chin

Wu Shu-chin

$4,939 Vol.

15%

icon for Yeh Chu-lin

Yeh Chu-lin

$428 Vol.

4%

icon for Chou Ni-an

Chou Ni-an

$536 Vol.

4%

icon for Chen Chin-chuan

Chen Chin-chuan

$385 Vol.

1%

icon for Hsu Chih-fu

Hsu Chih-fu

$985 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung, the Kuomintang nominee and former Huxi Township head, leads the Penghu County Magistrate market at 77% amid a November 28, 2026, election. The KMT consolidated its base after nominating him without primary controversy, while the Democratic Progressive Party shifted to Wu Shu-chin, wife of incapacitated incumbent Chen Kuang-fu, following his early 2026 fall and ongoing health issues that ended his reelection bid. This substitution, combined with Penghu’s historical pan-blue leanings and the 2022 DPP victory stemming from a split opposition vote, has boosted trader consensus on Chen. Independent candidacies by Yeh Chu-lin and others at lower prices introduce potential vote fragmentation risks, though recent campaign headquarters launches and stable polling gaps have kept Chen’s implied probability elevated ahead of the vote count.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$10,458
Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung, the Kuomintang nominee and former Huxi Township head, leads the Penghu County Magistrate market at 77% amid a November 28, 2026, election. The KMT consolidated its base after nominating him without primary controversy, while the Democratic Progressive Party shifted to Wu Shu-chin, wife of incapacitated incumbent Chen Kuang-fu, following his early 2026 fall and ongoing health issues that ended his reelection bid. This substitution, combined with Penghu’s historical pan-blue leanings and the 2022 DPP victory stemming from a split opposition vote, has boosted trader consensus on Chen. Independent candidacies by Yeh Chu-lin and others at lower prices introduce potential vote fragmentation risks, though recent campaign headquarters launches and stable polling gaps have kept Chen’s implied probability elevated ahead of the vote count.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$10,458
Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei der Bezirksrichterwahl in Penghu" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Chen Chen-chung" mit 77%, gefolgt von „Wu Shu-chin" mit 14%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 77¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 77% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wahlsieger bei der Bezirksrichterwahl in Penghu" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $10.5K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 14, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wahlsieger bei der Bezirksrichterwahl in Penghu" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 6 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei der Bezirksrichterwahl in Penghu" ist „Chen Chen-chung" mit 77%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 77% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Wu Shu-chin" mit 14%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger bei der Bezirksrichterwahl in Penghu" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.