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icon for Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller

Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller

icon for Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller

Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller

Matt Damon 27%

John Malkovich 21.1%

Andrew Scott 19%

Tom Cruise 17%

Polymarket

$108,325 Vol.

Matt Damon 27%

John Malkovich 21.1%

Andrew Scott 19%

Tom Cruise 17%

Polymarket

$108,325 Vol.

icon for Matt Damon

Matt Damon

$32,442 Vol.

27%

icon for John Malkovich

John Malkovich

$6,019 Vol.

21%

icon for Andrew Scott

Andrew Scott

$11,952 Vol.

19%

icon for Tom Cruise

Tom Cruise

$9,793 Vol.

17%

icon for Robert Pattinson

Robert Pattinson

$4,254 Vol.

9%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$3,968 Vol.

4%

icon for Timothée Chalamet

Timothée Chalamet

$3,627 Vol.

3%

icon for Sebastian Stan

Sebastian Stan

$2,694 Vol.

3%

icon for Ryan Gosling

Ryan Gosling

$4,712 Vol.

2%

icon for Javier Bardem

Javier Bardem

$2,839 Vol.

2%

icon for Pedro Pascal

Pedro Pascal

$3,014 Vol.

1%

icon for Jaafar Jackson

Jaafar Jackson

$4,140 Vol.

1%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$2,501 Vol.

1%

icon for Robert Aramayo

Robert Aramayo

$3,044 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brad Pitt

Brad Pitt

$8,041 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Driver

Adam Driver

$2,302 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$1,466 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Turturro

John Turturro

$1,516 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent festival premieres at Telluride have sharpened the early 2027 Best Actor race, with trader sentiment reflecting a wide-open field where no single performance has pulled decisively ahead.** Matt Damon’s physically demanding turn as Odysseus in Christopher Nolan’s summer blockbuster *The Odyssey* still anchors the top of the board on the strength of its scale and critical reception, yet John Malkovich has gained notable momentum from strong Venice and Telluride buzz in Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine*, capitalizing on the veteran actor’s overdue-narrative appeal. Andrew Scott’s acclaimed work in *Elsinore* has similarly lifted his implied probability through sensitive, awards-friendly reviews. Tom Cruise benefits from Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s direction on *Digger* and the long-running “first Oscar” storyline, while supporting contenders such as Robert Pattinson, Jeremy Strong, and Sebastian Stan await further festival reactions and guild signals. With nominations voting months away, the market underscores the category’s historical volatility and dependence on precursor awards and late-year campaign narratives.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$108,325
Enddatum
14. März 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent festival premieres at Telluride have sharpened the early 2027 Best Actor race, with trader sentiment reflecting a wide-open field where no single performance has pulled decisively ahead.** Matt Damon’s physically demanding turn as Odysseus in Christopher Nolan’s summer blockbuster *The Odyssey* still anchors the top of the board on the strength of its scale and critical reception, yet John Malkovich has gained notable momentum from strong Venice and Telluride buzz in Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine*, capitalizing on the veteran actor’s overdue-narrative appeal. Andrew Scott’s acclaimed work in *Elsinore* has similarly lifted his implied probability through sensitive, awards-friendly reviews. Tom Cruise benefits from Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s direction on *Digger* and the long-running “first Oscar” storyline, while supporting contenders such as Robert Pattinson, Jeremy Strong, and Sebastian Stan await further festival reactions and guild signals. With nominations voting months away, the market underscores the category’s historical volatility and dependence on precursor awards and late-year campaign narratives.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$108,325
Enddatum
14. März 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

88%
icon for Wird Die Odyssee bei der 99. Oscarverleihung den Preis für den besten Film gewinnen?

Wird Die Odyssee bei der 99. Oscarverleihung den Preis für den besten Film gewinnen?

48%
Ja
icon for Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

53%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 18 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Matt Damon" mit 27%, gefolgt von „John Malkovich" mit 21%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 27¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 27% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $108.3K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 28, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 18 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller" ist „Matt Damon" mit 27%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 27% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „John Malkovich" mit 21%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.