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icon for Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen

Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen

icon for Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen

Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen

Chen Yu-jen 95%

Li Wen-liang 3.1%

Liang Wen-tao 1.1%

Yang Cheng-wu <1%

Polymarket

$11,277 Vol.

Chen Yu-jen 95%

Li Wen-liang 3.1%

Liang Wen-tao 1.1%

Yang Cheng-wu <1%

Polymarket

$11,277 Vol.

icon for Chen Yu-jen

Chen Yu-jen

$9,883 Vol.

95%

icon for Li Wen-liang

Li Wen-liang

$498 Vol.

3%

icon for Liang Wen-tao

Liang Wen-tao

$309 Vol.

1%

icon for Yang Cheng-wu

Yang Cheng-wu

$587 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen holds a commanding lead in the Kinmen County magistrate race as the Kuomintang nominee, backed by party unification after rival Yang Cheng-wu withdrew in early September. Recent KMT-commissioned polling shows her at 45.4% support, far ahead of independent Li Wen-liang at 10.7% and a fragmented field of other independents, with over a third of voters undecided. Her profile as a sitting legislator, emphasis on local infrastructure, long-term care, and cross-strait stability aligns with Kinmen voter priorities in this traditionally KMT-leaning offshore county where the DPP fielded no candidate. The November 28 election outcome could shift if undecided voters consolidate behind a single challenger or if late campaign developments alter turnout patterns among key townships.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$11,277
Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen holds a commanding lead in the Kinmen County magistrate race as the Kuomintang nominee, backed by party unification after rival Yang Cheng-wu withdrew in early September. Recent KMT-commissioned polling shows her at 45.4% support, far ahead of independent Li Wen-liang at 10.7% and a fragmented field of other independents, with over a third of voters undecided. Her profile as a sitting legislator, emphasis on local infrastructure, long-term care, and cross-strait stability aligns with Kinmen voter priorities in this traditionally KMT-leaning offshore county where the DPP fielded no candidate. The November 28 election outcome could shift if undecided voters consolidate behind a single challenger or if late campaign developments alter turnout patterns among key townships.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$11,277
Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Chen Yu-jen" mit 95%, gefolgt von „Li Wen-liang" mit 3%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 95¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 95% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $11.3K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 14, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen" ist „Chen Yu-jen" mit 95%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 95% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Li Wen-liang" mit 3%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.