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icon for Gegen wie viele verschiedene Länder werden die USA 2026 militärisch vorgehen?
Welt·Streik

Gegen wie viele verschiedene Länder werden die USA 2026 militärisch vorgehen?

icon for Gegen wie viele verschiedene Länder werden die USA 2026 militärisch vorgehen?
Welt·Streik

Gegen wie viele verschiedene Länder werden die USA 2026 militärisch vorgehen?

8 62.6%

9 32.1%

11 2.8%

10 2.7%

Polymarket

$1,705,243 Vol.

8 62.6%

9 32.1%

11 2.8%

10 2.7%

Polymarket

$1,705,243 Vol.

icon for 8

8

$319,869 Vol.

63%

icon for 9

9

$122,603 Vol.

32%

icon for 10

10

$30,633 Vol.

3%

icon for 11

11

$29,602 Vol.

3%

icon for 12

12

$50,158 Vol.

1%

icon for 13

13

$103,357 Vol.

1%

icon for 14

14

$152,060 Vol.

<1%

icon for 15+

15+

$130,807 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military operations in 2026 have so far involved strikes on the soil of roughly seven countries, including sustained airstrikes against Iran-linked targets amid the ongoing Iran conflict, the January intervention in Venezuela, and counterterrorism actions in Somalia, Nigeria, Syria, Iraq, and Yemen. Recent September 2026 US strikes on IRGC sites in southern Iran and continued maritime interdictions tied to Latin American cartels have reinforced trader expectations that the annual total will land at eight or nine countries. With three-plus months remaining, additional strikes on new sovereign territory appear constrained by current operational tempo, alliance coordination in the Western Hemisphere, and the absence of announced escalations elsewhere. Market pricing around these two outcomes reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing the balance between active theaters and the low likelihood of rapid expansion to double-digit totals by December 31.

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.

Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,705,243
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military operations in 2026 have so far involved strikes on the soil of roughly seven countries, including sustained airstrikes against Iran-linked targets amid the ongoing Iran conflict, the January intervention in Venezuela, and counterterrorism actions in Somalia, Nigeria, Syria, Iraq, and Yemen. Recent September 2026 US strikes on IRGC sites in southern Iran and continued maritime interdictions tied to Latin American cartels have reinforced trader expectations that the annual total will land at eight or nine countries. With three-plus months remaining, additional strikes on new sovereign territory appear constrained by current operational tempo, alliance coordination in the Western Hemisphere, and the absence of announced escalations elsewhere. Market pricing around these two outcomes reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing the balance between active theaters and the low likelihood of rapid expansion to double-digit totals by December 31.

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.

Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,705,243
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Israel im Jahr 2026 vier Länder angreifen?

Wird Israel im Jahr 2026 vier Länder angreifen?

86%
Ja
icon for US-Angriff auf Kuba bis zum 31. Dezember?

US-Angriff auf Kuba bis zum 31. Dezember?

14%
Ja
icon for US-Schlag gegen Mexiko bis zum 31. Dezember?

US-Schlag gegen Mexiko bis zum 31. Dezember?

10%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gegen wie viele verschiedene Länder werden die USA 2026 militärisch vorgehen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 16 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „8" mit 63%, gefolgt von „9" mit 32%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 63¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 63% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gegen wie viele verschiedene Länder werden die USA 2026 militärisch vorgehen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1.7 million generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 13, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gegen wie viele verschiedene Länder werden die USA 2026 militärisch vorgehen?" ist „8" mit 63%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 63% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „9" mit 32%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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