The upcoming French Socialist primary, scheduled for October 9–10 with a potential runoff the following week, features a fragmented field of five candidates including Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique, Olivier Faure of the PS, Jérôme Guedj, Emmanuel Maurel of the GRS, and Ségolène Royal. Recent candidate validations and the exclusion of Philippe Brun amid allegations have not consolidated support behind any single contender. Internal party divisions, a closed electorate limited to dues-paying members and allies, and early indications of vote splitting among socialist and social-democratic factions point to a competitive first round. Trader consensus on a likely runoff reflects these structural and factional dynamics ahead of the October voting window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird die französische sozialistische Vorwahl in der ersten Runde direkt gewonnen?
Wird die französische sozialistische Vorwahl in der ersten Runde direkt gewonnen?
Ja
30% Chance
NEU
NEU
10. Okt. 2026
Ja
30% Chance
NEU
NEU
10. Okt. 2026
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The upcoming French Socialist primary, scheduled for October 9–10 with a potential runoff the following week, features a fragmented field of five candidates including Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique, Olivier Faure of the PS, Jérôme Guedj, Emmanuel Maurel of the GRS, and Ségolène Royal. Recent candidate validations and the exclusion of Philippe Brun amid allegations have not consolidated support behind any single contender. Internal party divisions, a closed electorate limited to dues-paying members and allies, and early indications of vote splitting among socialist and social-democratic factions point to a competitive first round. Trader consensus on a likely runoff reflects these structural and factional dynamics ahead of the October voting window.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Volumen
$645Enddatum
10. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The upcoming French Socialist primary, scheduled for October 9–10 with a potential runoff the following week, features a fragmented field of five candidates including Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique, Olivier Faure of the PS, Jérôme Guedj, Emmanuel Maurel of the GRS, and Ségolène Royal. Recent candidate validations and the exclusion of Philippe Brun amid allegations have not consolidated support behind any single contender. Internal party divisions, a closed electorate limited to dues-paying members and allies, and early indications of vote splitting among socialist and social-democratic factions point to a competitive first round. Trader consensus on a likely runoff reflects these structural and factional dynamics ahead of the October voting window.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Volumen
$645Enddatum
10. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...The upcoming French Socialist primary, scheduled for October 9–10 with a potential runoff the following week, features a fragmented field of five candidates including Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique, Olivier Faure of the PS, Jérôme Guedj, Emmanuel Maurel of the GRS, and Ségolène Royal. Recent candidate validations and the exclusion of Philippe Brun amid allegations have not consolidated support behind any single contender. Internal party divisions, a closed electorate limited to dues-paying members and allies, and early indications of vote splitting among socialist and social-democratic factions point to a competitive first round. Trader consensus on a likely runoff reflects these structural and factional dynamics ahead of the October voting window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird Raphaël Glucksmann die erste Runde der französischen sozialistischen Vorwahl gewinnen?
89%
Ja
Wird Olivier Faure in der ersten Runde der französischen Sozialisten-Vorwahlen den zweiten Platz belegen?
70%
Ja
Wird die Vorwahl der Vereinigten Linken 2026 für die französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027 abgesagt?
92%
Ja
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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