Casey Askar leads the FL-22 House race at 56.5% implied probability following his August primary victory and early September endorsements from both President Trump and Governor DeSantis. The newly redrawn district, which spans parts of Collier, Hendry, Palm Beach, and Broward counties, tilts Republican after mid-decade map changes, with 2024 results showing stronger GOP support than prior lines. Askar, a Marine veteran and businessman, benefits from unified party backing in this open-seat contest. Pia Dandiya, who won her Democratic primary with over two-thirds of the vote, maintains a competitive 43.5% share through strong fundraising exceeding $2 million, local endorsements, and emphasis on cost-of-living issues in the swing district. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFL-22 Wahlsieger
FL-22 Wahlsieger
$40,612 Vol.
$40,612 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Casey Askar (R)
56%
Pia Dandiya (D)
45%
$40,612 Vol.
$40,612 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Casey Askar (R)
$22,941 Vol.
56%
Pia Dandiya (D)
$17,671 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Casey Askar leads the FL-22 House race at 56.5% implied probability following his August primary victory and early September endorsements from both President Trump and Governor DeSantis. The newly redrawn district, which spans parts of Collier, Hendry, Palm Beach, and Broward counties, tilts Republican after mid-decade map changes, with 2024 results showing stronger GOP support than prior lines. Askar, a Marine veteran and businessman, benefits from unified party backing in this open-seat contest. Pia Dandiya, who won her Democratic primary with over two-thirds of the vote, maintains a competitive 43.5% share through strong fundraising exceeding $2 million, local endorsements, and emphasis on cost-of-living issues in the swing district. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$40,612Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Casey Askar leads the FL-22 House race at 56.5% implied probability following his August primary victory and early September endorsements from both President Trump and Governor DeSantis. The newly redrawn district, which spans parts of Collier, Hendry, Palm Beach, and Broward counties, tilts Republican after mid-decade map changes, with 2024 results showing stronger GOP support than prior lines. Askar, a Marine veteran and businessman, benefits from unified party backing in this open-seat contest. Pia Dandiya, who won her Democratic primary with over two-thirds of the vote, maintains a competitive 43.5% share through strong fundraising exceeding $2 million, local endorsements, and emphasis on cost-of-living issues in the swing district. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$40,612Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Casey Askar leads the FL-22 House race at 56.5% implied probability following his August primary victory and early September endorsements from both President Trump and Governor DeSantis. The newly redrawn district, which spans parts of Collier, Hendry, Palm Beach, and Broward counties, tilts Republican after mid-decade map changes, with 2024 results showing stronger GOP support than prior lines. Askar, a Marine veteran and businessman, benefits from unified party backing in this open-seat contest. Pia Dandiya, who won her Democratic primary with over two-thirds of the vote, maintains a competitive 43.5% share through strong fundraising exceeding $2 million, local endorsements, and emphasis on cost-of-living issues in the swing district. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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