**The current 63.5% implied probability on “No” for an albatross at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open reflects the extreme rarity of the feat on a links layout.** Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg plays as a par-70 measuring 6,838 yards with only three par-5s (holes 4, 8 and 10), all lengthy and exposed to Atlantic winds that are already affecting early-round scoring. Strong fields featuring McIlroy, Rahm, Lowry and Hatton have produced solid early birdie runs, yet no albatross has been recorded or even closely approached in live coverage. Links conditions, firm fairways and variable weather further reduce the realistic chance of a player reaching a par-5 green in two shots and holing out, or recording a hole-in-one on a par-4. Historical precedent across DP World Tour and major events reinforces how infrequently albatrosses occur even under favorable scoring conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert73% Chance
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
73% Chance
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).**The current 63.5% implied probability on “No” for an albatross at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open reflects the extreme rarity of the feat on a links layout.** Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg plays as a par-70 measuring 6,838 yards with only three par-5s (holes 4, 8 and 10), all lengthy and exposed to Atlantic winds that are already affecting early-round scoring. Strong fields featuring McIlroy, Rahm, Lowry and Hatton have produced solid early birdie runs, yet no albatross has been recorded or even closely approached in live coverage. Links conditions, firm fairways and variable weather further reduce the realistic chance of a player reaching a par-5 green in two shots and holing out, or recording a hole-in-one on a par-4. Historical precedent across DP World Tour and major events reinforces how infrequently albatrosses occur even under favorable scoring conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.europeantour.com/Abwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).**The current 63.5% implied probability on “No” for an albatross at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open reflects the extreme rarity of the feat on a links layout.** Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg plays as a par-70 measuring 6,838 yards with only three par-5s (holes 4, 8 and 10), all lengthy and exposed to Atlantic winds that are already affecting early-round scoring. Strong fields featuring McIlroy, Rahm, Lowry and Hatton have produced solid early birdie runs, yet no albatross has been recorded or even closely approached in live coverage. Links conditions, firm fairways and variable weather further reduce the realistic chance of a player reaching a par-5 green in two shots and holing out, or recording a hole-in-one on a par-4. Historical precedent across DP World Tour and major events reinforces how infrequently albatrosses occur even under favorable scoring conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.europeantour.com/Abwickler
0x65070BE91...**The current 63.5% implied probability on “No” for an albatross at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open reflects the extreme rarity of the feat on a links layout.** Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg plays as a par-70 measuring 6,838 yards with only three par-5s (holes 4, 8 and 10), all lengthy and exposed to Atlantic winds that are already affecting early-round scoring. Strong fields featuring McIlroy, Rahm, Lowry and Hatton have produced solid early birdie runs, yet no albatross has been recorded or even closely approached in live coverage. Links conditions, firm fairways and variable weather further reduce the realistic chance of a player reaching a par-5 green in two shots and holing out, or recording a hole-in-one on a par-4. Historical precedent across DP World Tour and major events reinforces how infrequently albatrosses occur even under favorable scoring conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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