Cobreloa and Santiago Wanderers dominate the runner-up conversation in Chile’s 2026 Liga de Ascenso after Cobreloa’s 1-0 victory over Wanderers on September 26 lifted the loínos to 45 points and first place, one ahead of the caturros. With only five rounds remaining, the narrow gap and recent head-to-head result keep both sides in prime position for the top two spots that secure promotion playoff advantages. Mid-table sides such as San Luis, Magallanes, Antofagasta, and Recoleta sit four to seven points back and retain mathematical hopes, but would need sustained results plus stumbles from the leaders. The tightly bunched implied probabilities reflect this compressed end-of-season dynamic and the high variance still possible in the final fixtures.