Anthropic’s accelerated IPO preparations, including its June 2026 confidential S-1 filing ahead of OpenAI and ongoing roadshow targeting a November listing at up to $2 trillion valuation, underpin the 94.8% market-implied odds favoring it to list first. Strong revenue growth exceeding $100 billion annualized run rate and active engagement with underwriters have reinforced trader consensus around Anthropic’s timeline. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated in September that a 2026 debut would be ill-advised due to AI safety and alignment priorities, shifting focus to 2027. While this creates high conviction in the current pricing, unexpected regulatory hurdles, market volatility, or shifts in OpenAI’s internal plans could still alter outcomes before either company completes its offering.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic
$385,246 Vol.
$385,246 Vol.
Anthropic
$385,246 Vol.
$385,246 Vol.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
রেজলভার
0x65070be91...Anthropic’s accelerated IPO preparations, including its June 2026 confidential S-1 filing ahead of OpenAI and ongoing roadshow targeting a November listing at up to $2 trillion valuation, underpin the 94.8% market-implied odds favoring it to list first. Strong revenue growth exceeding $100 billion annualized run rate and active engagement with underwriters have reinforced trader consensus around Anthropic’s timeline. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated in September that a 2026 debut would be ill-advised due to AI safety and alignment priorities, shifting focus to 2027. While this creates high conviction in the current pricing, unexpected regulatory hurdles, market volatility, or shifts in OpenAI’s internal plans could still alter outcomes before either company completes its offering.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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