**No at 73% reflects a market that has already seen multiple $150 million-plus results in 2025–2026 but views another one before year-end as less certain amid lumpy supply.** The standout 2025 Klimt *Portrait of Elisabeth Lederer* ($236.4 million) and May 2026 Pollock *Number 7A* ($181.2 million) came from major estate dispersals (Lauder, Newhouse, Gund), driving the recent rebound in trophy Modern and Postwar works. With those collections largely cleared and fewer comparable single-owner blocks confirmed for the fall New York or London seasons, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of pushing another lot over the threshold by December 31. Upcoming evening sales and any late private-treaty reports remain the key swing factors, yet the compressed timeline and historical reliance on exceptional provenance keep the “No” side favored.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
40% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2026
40% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".**No at 73% reflects a market that has already seen multiple $150 million-plus results in 2025–2026 but views another one before year-end as less certain amid lumpy supply.**
The standout 2025 Klimt *Portrait of Elisabeth Lederer* ($236.4 million) and May 2026 Pollock *Number 7A* ($181.2 million) came from major estate dispersals (Lauder, Newhouse, Gund), driving the recent rebound in trophy Modern and Postwar works. With those collections largely cleared and fewer comparable single-owner blocks confirmed for the fall New York or London seasons, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of pushing another lot over the threshold by December 31. Upcoming evening sales and any late private-treaty reports remain the key swing factors, yet the compressed timeline and historical reliance on exceptional provenance keep the “No” side favored.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,616শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".**No at 73% reflects a market that has already seen multiple $150 million-plus results in 2025–2026 but views another one before year-end as less certain amid lumpy supply.**
The standout 2025 Klimt *Portrait of Elisabeth Lederer* ($236.4 million) and May 2026 Pollock *Number 7A* ($181.2 million) came from major estate dispersals (Lauder, Newhouse, Gund), driving the recent rebound in trophy Modern and Postwar works. With those collections largely cleared and fewer comparable single-owner blocks confirmed for the fall New York or London seasons, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of pushing another lot over the threshold by December 31. Upcoming evening sales and any late private-treaty reports remain the key swing factors, yet the compressed timeline and historical reliance on exceptional provenance keep the “No” side favored.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
ভলিউম
$1,616শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...**No at 73% reflects a market that has already seen multiple $150 million-plus results in 2025–2026 but views another one before year-end as less certain amid lumpy supply.** The standout 2025 Klimt *Portrait of Elisabeth Lederer* ($236.4 million) and May 2026 Pollock *Number 7A* ($181.2 million) came from major estate dispersals (Lauder, Newhouse, Gund), driving the recent rebound in trophy Modern and Postwar works. With those collections largely cleared and fewer comparable single-owner blocks confirmed for the fall New York or London seasons, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of pushing another lot over the threshold by December 31. Upcoming evening sales and any late private-treaty reports remain the key swing factors, yet the compressed timeline and historical reliance on exceptional provenance keep the “No” side favored.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা