**PP maintains a consistent polling lead ahead of the November 29 snap election.** Recent surveys place Partido Popular at 32–34% support, several points ahead of PSOE at 25–27%, with Vox third at 18–19%. Seat projections from multiple pollsters show PP on track for roughly 130–145 seats and a right-leaning bloc (PP + Vox) exceeding the 176-seat majority threshold in nearly all simulations. Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez called the early vote amid legislative setbacks, including housing reforms stalled by coalition partners. PSOE has lost ground relative to its 2023 result, while PP has held steady under Alberto Núñez Feijóo and Vox has gained on immigration and related issues. Smaller parties remain fragmented below the effective threshold for significant influence. These trends underpin trader consensus favoring PP as the most likely plurality or bloc leader.