Roma, Inter Milan, and Lazio share the Serie A lead on 13 points after five matchdays, with Roma holding the strongest goal difference at +11 and top scorer Donyell Malen contributing heavily to their attack. Inter, the defending champions, remain competitive following a 2-2 draw against Roma, while Lazio has matched their unbeaten records. AC Milan sits fifth with Christian Pulisic regaining form after a 2026 World Cup injury. Projections from early-season simulations give Roma the highest implied probability for the most points, ahead of Inter and Lazio, reflecting their current momentum and squad depth. An international break precedes matchday six fixtures including Inter versus Parma and Como hosting Roma, where results could shift the early title-race consensus among traders. Bottom sides like Venezia and Genoa have struggled significantly, highlighting the gap between contenders and relegation candidates.