Strong El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific, now approaching super-El Niño strength with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2.7 °C and forecasts for further intensification through late 2026, combine with the long-term greenhouse-gas-driven warming trend to keep September 2026 temperatures near record levels. August 2026 tied July 2023 as Earth’s hottest month on record at 1.65 °C above pre-industrial baselines according to Copernicus data, reflecting elevated sea-surface temperatures and land heat that typically carry forward into September. This positions the month most likely as the second-warmest September behind 2023 or 2024, while the narrow gap to first place and limited downside risk from model consensus keep 2nd-hottest as the dominant trader outcome. Ongoing Copernicus and NOAA monthly releases will refine these rankings as the month progresses.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSeptember 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
2nd hottest 82%
1st hottest 11%
3rd hottest 6.6%
4th or lower 5.4%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 30, 2026
1st hottest
11%
2nd hottest
88%
3rd hottest
7%
4th or lower
5%
2nd hottest 82%
1st hottest 11%
3rd hottest 6.6%
4th or lower 5.4%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 30, 2026
1st hottest
$349 Vol.
11%
2nd hottest
$1 Vol.
88%
3rd hottest
$191 Vol.
7%
4th or lower
$250 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2026 versus the data points available for all other Septembers on record.
Note: If September 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for September 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Strong El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific, now approaching super-El Niño strength with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2.7 °C and forecasts for further intensification through late 2026, combine with the long-term greenhouse-gas-driven warming trend to keep September 2026 temperatures near record levels. August 2026 tied July 2023 as Earth’s hottest month on record at 1.65 °C above pre-industrial baselines according to Copernicus data, reflecting elevated sea-surface temperatures and land heat that typically carry forward into September. This positions the month most likely as the second-warmest September behind 2023 or 2024, while the narrow gap to first place and limited downside risk from model consensus keep 2nd-hottest as the dominant trader outcome. Ongoing Copernicus and NOAA monthly releases will refine these rankings as the month progresses.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2026 versus the data points available for all other Septembers on record.
Note: If September 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for September 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If September 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for September 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 28, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
ভলিউম
$791শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 28, 2026, 11:14 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2026 versus the data points available for all other Septembers on record.
Note: If September 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for September 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Strong El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific, now approaching super-El Niño strength with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2.7 °C and forecasts for further intensification through late 2026, combine with the long-term greenhouse-gas-driven warming trend to keep September 2026 temperatures near record levels. August 2026 tied July 2023 as Earth’s hottest month on record at 1.65 °C above pre-industrial baselines according to Copernicus data, reflecting elevated sea-surface temperatures and land heat that typically carry forward into September. This positions the month most likely as the second-warmest September behind 2023 or 2024, while the narrow gap to first place and limited downside risk from model consensus keep 2nd-hottest as the dominant trader outcome. Ongoing Copernicus and NOAA monthly releases will refine these rankings as the month progresses.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2026 versus the data points available for all other Septembers on record.
Note: If September 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for September 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If September 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for September 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
ভলিউম
$791শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 28, 2026, 11:14 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Strong El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific, now approaching super-El Niño strength with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2.7 °C and forecasts for further intensification through late 2026, combine with the long-term greenhouse-gas-driven warming trend to keep September 2026 temperatures near record levels. August 2026 tied July 2023 as Earth’s hottest month on record at 1.65 °C above pre-industrial baselines according to Copernicus data, reflecting elevated sea-surface temperatures and land heat that typically carry forward into September. This positions the month most likely as the second-warmest September behind 2023 or 2024, while the narrow gap to first place and limited downside risk from model consensus keep 2nd-hottest as the dominant trader outcome. Ongoing Copernicus and NOAA monthly releases will refine these rankings as the month progresses.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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