Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models show minimum temperatures on September 22 most likely settling at 26–27°C, driven by weak easterly flow, high humidity near 70–95%, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Persistent warm sea-surface temperatures and the absence of strong northerly surges keep overnight lows above seasonal norms, with model consensus narrowing the range and reducing chances of a dip to 25°C or lower. Trader positioning reflects this stability, as the implied probabilities align closely with the latest guidance issued in the 48 hours before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
27°C 52%
26°C 28%
28°C 17%
23°C 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
9%
25°C
7%
26°C
28%
27°C
52%
28°C
17%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 52%
26°C 28%
28°C 17%
23°C 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
$60 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
9%
24°C
$0 Vol.
9%
25°C
$80 Vol.
7%
26°C
$353 Vol.
28%
27°C
$297 Vol.
52%
28°C
$740 Vol.
17%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$140 Vol.
1%
31°C
$40 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$40 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models show minimum temperatures on September 22 most likely settling at 26–27°C, driven by weak easterly flow, high humidity near 70–95%, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Persistent warm sea-surface temperatures and the absence of strong northerly surges keep overnight lows above seasonal norms, with model consensus narrowing the range and reducing chances of a dip to 25°C or lower. Trader positioning reflects this stability, as the implied probabilities align closely with the latest guidance issued in the 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,750শেষ তারিখ
Sep 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models show minimum temperatures on September 22 most likely settling at 26–27°C, driven by weak easterly flow, high humidity near 70–95%, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Persistent warm sea-surface temperatures and the absence of strong northerly surges keep overnight lows above seasonal norms, with model consensus narrowing the range and reducing chances of a dip to 25°C or lower. Trader positioning reflects this stability, as the implied probabilities align closely with the latest guidance issued in the 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$1,750শেষ তারিখ
Sep 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models show minimum temperatures on September 22 most likely settling at 26–27°C, driven by weak easterly flow, high humidity near 70–95%, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Persistent warm sea-surface temperatures and the absence of strong northerly surges keep overnight lows above seasonal norms, with model consensus narrowing the range and reducing chances of a dip to 25°C or lower. Trader positioning reflects this stability, as the implied probabilities align closely with the latest guidance issued in the 48 hours before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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