**Rafael López Aliaga’s Renovación Popular list holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026, Lima mayoral race, reflected in the market’s 81.2% consensus on him as the effective winner.** López Aliaga resigned the mayoralty in 2025 to run for president and later declined a Senate seat, then secured JNE approval in September to run as first regidor after earlier registration setbacks tied to his senator-elect status. This structure allows him to assume the alcaldía if his list prevails, consistent with municipal law on vacancies. Recent polls show his ticket leading with roughly 27% support amid a crowded field of 22 candidates, including Carlos Bruce (Somos Perú), Francis Allison, Daniel Urresti, Susel Paredes, and Ricardo Belmont. The fragmented opposition and López Aliaga’s prior incumbency and party organization in Lima have consolidated trader expectations ahead of scheduled debates. Resolution hinges on the official vote count and any post-election legal steps.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRafael López Aliaga 82.0%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 13.9%
Francis James Allison Oyague 2.1%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli 2.0%
$160,921 Vol.
$160,921 Vol.
Rafael López Aliaga
82%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
14%
Francis James Allison Oyague
2%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
2%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
2%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
1%
Yehude Simón Munaro
<1%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
<1%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
<1%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
<1%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
<1%
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
<1%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
<1%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
<1%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
<1%
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
<1%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
<1%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
<1%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
<1%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
<1%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
<1%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
<1%
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 82.0%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 13.9%
Francis James Allison Oyague 2.1%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli 2.0%
$160,921 Vol.
$160,921 Vol.
Rafael López Aliaga
82%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
14%
Francis James Allison Oyague
2%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
2%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
2%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
1%
Yehude Simón Munaro
<1%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
<1%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
<1%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
<1%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
<1%
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
<1%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
<1%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
<1%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
<1%
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
<1%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
<1%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
<1%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
<1%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
<1%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
<1%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
<1%
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Rafael López Aliaga’s Renovación Popular list holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026, Lima mayoral race, reflected in the market’s 81.2% consensus on him as the effective winner.** López Aliaga resigned the mayoralty in 2025 to run for president and later declined a Senate seat, then secured JNE approval in September to run as first regidor after earlier registration setbacks tied to his senator-elect status. This structure allows him to assume the alcaldía if his list prevails, consistent with municipal law on vacancies. Recent polls show his ticket leading with roughly 27% support amid a crowded field of 22 candidates, including Carlos Bruce (Somos Perú), Francis Allison, Daniel Urresti, Susel Paredes, and Ricardo Belmont. The fragmented opposition and López Aliaga’s prior incumbency and party organization in Lima have consolidated trader expectations ahead of scheduled debates. Resolution hinges on the official vote count and any post-election legal steps.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা