Ed Gallrein secured the Republican nomination for Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District by defeating seven-term incumbent Thomas Massie in the May 2026 primary, prevailing 55% to 45% with support from President Trump and allied outside groups. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including a 19.5-point Trump margin in 2024 and an R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus favoring Gallrein. Democrat Melissa Strange, who won her primary by a wide margin, faces structural barriers in a seat last held by a Democrat more than two decades ago. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডKY-04 House Election Winner
KY-04 House Election Winner
$37,603 Vol.
$37,603 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ed Gallrein (R)
94%
Melissa Strange (D)
6%
$37,603 Vol.
$37,603 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ed Gallrein (R)
$25,306 Vol.
94%
Melissa Strange (D)
$12,297 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ed Gallrein secured the Republican nomination for Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District by defeating seven-term incumbent Thomas Massie in the May 2026 primary, prevailing 55% to 45% with support from President Trump and allied outside groups. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including a 19.5-point Trump margin in 2024 and an R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus favoring Gallrein. Democrat Melissa Strange, who won her primary by a wide margin, faces structural barriers in a seat last held by a Democrat more than two decades ago. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$37,603শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ed Gallrein secured the Republican nomination for Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District by defeating seven-term incumbent Thomas Massie in the May 2026 primary, prevailing 55% to 45% with support from President Trump and allied outside groups. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including a 19.5-point Trump margin in 2024 and an R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus favoring Gallrein. Democrat Melissa Strange, who won her primary by a wide margin, faces structural barriers in a seat last held by a Democrat more than two decades ago. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$37,603শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Ed Gallrein secured the Republican nomination for Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District by defeating seven-term incumbent Thomas Massie in the May 2026 primary, prevailing 55% to 45% with support from President Trump and allied outside groups. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including a 19.5-point Trump margin in 2024 and an R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus favoring Gallrein. Democrat Melissa Strange, who won her primary by a wide margin, faces structural barriers in a seat last held by a Democrat more than two decades ago. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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