Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral by-election market at 82.5% implied probability ahead of the September 27, 2026, vote, driven by consistent polling advantages in a fragmented field and his established local profile as an independent Kraków for Residents candidate. Recent registration hurdles over signature verification were resolved in early September, clearing his path after the May 2026 recall referendum ousted incumbent Aleksander Miszalski. Monika Piątkowska, backed by Civic Coalition and PSL, follows at 12%, while PiS nominee Michał Drewnicki and others register below 4%, reflecting limited consolidation in first-round preferences. Trader consensus aligns with surveys showing Gibała ahead by double digits amid widespread dissatisfaction with prior governance on transport policy, debt, and local services, though a runoff remains possible if no candidate secures an outright majority.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডŁukasz Gibała 83%
Monika Piątkowska 12%
Michał Drewnicki 4.2%
Rafał Komarewicz 2.8%
$24,214 Vol.
$24,214 Vol.
Łukasz Gibała
83%
Monika Piątkowska
12%
Michał Drewnicki
4%
Rafał Komarewicz
3%
Marianna Schreiber
1%
Daria Gosek-Popiołek
1%
Grażyna Zofia Świat
1%
Marian Banaś
1%
Aleksandra Owca
1%
Jan Hoffman
1%
Marta Ratuszyńska
1%
Rafał Sonik
<1%
Łukasz Wantuch
<1%
Sławomir Pietrzyk
<1%
Bartosz Bocheńczak
<1%
Paweł Śliz
<1%
Michał Klimek
<1%
Łukasz Gibała 83%
Monika Piątkowska 12%
Michał Drewnicki 4.2%
Rafał Komarewicz 2.8%
$24,214 Vol.
$24,214 Vol.
Łukasz Gibała
83%
Monika Piątkowska
12%
Michał Drewnicki
4%
Rafał Komarewicz
3%
Marianna Schreiber
1%
Daria Gosek-Popiołek
1%
Grażyna Zofia Świat
1%
Marian Banaś
1%
Aleksandra Owca
1%
Jan Hoffman
1%
Marta Ratuszyńska
1%
Rafał Sonik
<1%
Łukasz Wantuch
<1%
Sławomir Pietrzyk
<1%
Bartosz Bocheńczak
<1%
Paweł Śliz
<1%
Michał Klimek
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral by-election market at 82.5% implied probability ahead of the September 27, 2026, vote, driven by consistent polling advantages in a fragmented field and his established local profile as an independent Kraków for Residents candidate. Recent registration hurdles over signature verification were resolved in early September, clearing his path after the May 2026 recall referendum ousted incumbent Aleksander Miszalski. Monika Piątkowska, backed by Civic Coalition and PSL, follows at 12%, while PiS nominee Michał Drewnicki and others register below 4%, reflecting limited consolidation in first-round preferences. Trader consensus aligns with surveys showing Gibała ahead by double digits amid widespread dissatisfaction with prior governance on transport policy, debt, and local services, though a runoff remains possible if no candidate secures an outright majority.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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