The fragile October 2025 Israel-Hamas ceasefire, brokered under a U.S.-led Board of Peace framework and UN-endorsed plan, remains in place but faces repeated strains from incomplete Phase 2 implementation. Israel has expanded its territorial control in Gaza beyond initial lines while conducting targeted strikes on Hamas commanders, citing imminent threats and multiple ceasefire violations reported by the IDF in September 2026. Hamas has accepted a phased disarmament roadmap in principle and offered to transfer governance authority, yet full weapons decommissioning and verified withdrawal conditions remain unmet amid stalled talks. Israeli elections have further slowed diplomatic momentum, with reconstruction blocked until demilitarization advances. These dynamics, alongside persistent low-level hostilities and humanitarian pressures, shape trader assessments of formal cancellation risks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIsraeli officials commemorate 1,000 days since October 7 attacks amid ongoing conflict
December 31 plunges to 30%19%
Israeli commemoration of the 1,000 days since the October 7 attacks highlighted the prolonged conflict and ongoing tensions, with no official ceasefire cancellation announced, contributing to market price stabilization at low levels.
Israeli Finance Minister Smotrich announces readiness to build three settlements in Gaza
June 30 dips to 1%1%
Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich declared that Israel is ready to begin building three Jewish settlements in northern Gaza once government approval is granted. This move reflects Israeli expansionist policies during the ceasefire period but does not constitute an official cancellation of the ceasefire by either party.




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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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