Recent polling for the 2026 midterm generic congressional ballot shows Black voter support for Republican candidates clustered in the low-to-mid teens, with Pew Research indicating 8% GOP preference amid 68% Democratic support and notable undecided shares, while other surveys like Morning Consult and Echelon Insights place the figure near 15-19%. This range aligns with 2024 presidential gains for Republicans but reflects subsequent erosion tied to economic pressures and approval ratings in the low teens. The tight distribution between 10-11% and 12-13% outcomes stems from poll variability, questions over turnout patterns, and limited recent shifts in party identification, where Republican lean among Black adults hovers around 14%. Developments such as economic data releases or targeted outreach could widen separation ahead of November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড10–11% 26%
12–13% 22%
8–9% 16%
<8% 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 6, 2026
<8%
9%
8–9%
16%
10–11%
26%
12–13%
22%
14–15%
9%
16–17%
6%
18%+
3%
10–11% 26%
12–13% 22%
8–9% 16%
<8% 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 6, 2026
<8%
$20 Vol.
9%
8–9%
$538 Vol.
16%
10–11%
$441 Vol.
26%
12–13%
$351 Vol.
22%
14–15%
$192 Vol.
9%
16–17%
$20 Vol.
6%
18%+
$91 Vol.
3%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Recent polling for the 2026 midterm generic congressional ballot shows Black voter support for Republican candidates clustered in the low-to-mid teens, with Pew Research indicating 8% GOP preference amid 68% Democratic support and notable undecided shares, while other surveys like Morning Consult and Echelon Insights place the figure near 15-19%. This range aligns with 2024 presidential gains for Republicans but reflects subsequent erosion tied to economic pressures and approval ratings in the low teens. The tight distribution between 10-11% and 12-13% outcomes stems from poll variability, questions over turnout patterns, and limited recent shifts in party identification, where Republican lean among Black adults hovers around 14%. Developments such as economic data releases or targeted outreach could widen separation ahead of November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,653শেষ তারিখ
Nov 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 2:11 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Recent polling for the 2026 midterm generic congressional ballot shows Black voter support for Republican candidates clustered in the low-to-mid teens, with Pew Research indicating 8% GOP preference amid 68% Democratic support and notable undecided shares, while other surveys like Morning Consult and Echelon Insights place the figure near 15-19%. This range aligns with 2024 presidential gains for Republicans but reflects subsequent erosion tied to economic pressures and approval ratings in the low teens. The tight distribution between 10-11% and 12-13% outcomes stems from poll variability, questions over turnout patterns, and limited recent shifts in party identification, where Republican lean among Black adults hovers around 14%. Developments such as economic data releases or targeted outreach could widen separation ahead of November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
ভলিউম
$1,653শেষ তারিখ
Nov 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 2:11 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the 2026 midterm generic congressional ballot shows Black voter support for Republican candidates clustered in the low-to-mid teens, with Pew Research indicating 8% GOP preference amid 68% Democratic support and notable undecided shares, while other surveys like Morning Consult and Echelon Insights place the figure near 15-19%. This range aligns with 2024 presidential gains for Republicans but reflects subsequent erosion tied to economic pressures and approval ratings in the low teens. The tight distribution between 10-11% and 12-13% outcomes stems from poll variability, questions over turnout patterns, and limited recent shifts in party identification, where Republican lean among Black adults hovers around 14%. Developments such as economic data releases or targeted outreach could widen separation ahead of November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা