Michigan stands out among these tossup Senate contests as the clearest near-term opportunity for Democrats because it is an open seat in a swing state with even partisan balance, where recent polling averages show the Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed holding a slight lead over Republican Mike Rogers following the August primary. National conditions, including low presidential approval tied to economic pressures and foreign policy, have narrowed Republican advantages across the map and lifted Democratic prospects in several states. Maine remains competitive due to its Democratic lean in presidential voting and the late replacement of the prior nominee, while Ohio, Texas, Alaska, and Iowa feature strong Democratic challengers in Republican-held seats but face steeper structural hurdles. Traders assign Michigan the highest probability because its fundamentals and current survey trends position it as the most attainable outcome among the listed races ahead of November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMichigan 56%
Maine 14%
Ohio 12.6%
Texas 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Michigan
56%
Maine
14%
Ohio
13%
Texas
8%
Alaska
6%
Iowa
4%
Michigan 56%
Maine 14%
Ohio 12.6%
Texas 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Michigan
$2,811 Vol.
56%
Maine
$226 Vol.
14%
Ohio
$371 Vol.
13%
Texas
$134 Vol.
8%
Alaska
$236 Vol.
6%
Iowa
$129 Vol.
4%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan stands out among these tossup Senate contests as the clearest near-term opportunity for Democrats because it is an open seat in a swing state with even partisan balance, where recent polling averages show the Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed holding a slight lead over Republican Mike Rogers following the August primary. National conditions, including low presidential approval tied to economic pressures and foreign policy, have narrowed Republican advantages across the map and lifted Democratic prospects in several states. Maine remains competitive due to its Democratic lean in presidential voting and the late replacement of the prior nominee, while Ohio, Texas, Alaska, and Iowa feature strong Democratic challengers in Republican-held seats but face steeper structural hurdles. Traders assign Michigan the highest probability because its fundamentals and current survey trends position it as the most attainable outcome among the listed races ahead of November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
ভলিউম
$3,907শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan stands out among these tossup Senate contests as the clearest near-term opportunity for Democrats because it is an open seat in a swing state with even partisan balance, where recent polling averages show the Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed holding a slight lead over Republican Mike Rogers following the August primary. National conditions, including low presidential approval tied to economic pressures and foreign policy, have narrowed Republican advantages across the map and lifted Democratic prospects in several states. Maine remains competitive due to its Democratic lean in presidential voting and the late replacement of the prior nominee, while Ohio, Texas, Alaska, and Iowa feature strong Democratic challengers in Republican-held seats but face steeper structural hurdles. Traders assign Michigan the highest probability because its fundamentals and current survey trends position it as the most attainable outcome among the listed races ahead of November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$3,907শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Michigan stands out among these tossup Senate contests as the clearest near-term opportunity for Democrats because it is an open seat in a swing state with even partisan balance, where recent polling averages show the Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed holding a slight lead over Republican Mike Rogers following the August primary. National conditions, including low presidential approval tied to economic pressures and foreign policy, have narrowed Republican advantages across the map and lifted Democratic prospects in several states. Maine remains competitive due to its Democratic lean in presidential voting and the late replacement of the prior nominee, while Ohio, Texas, Alaska, and Iowa feature strong Democratic challengers in Republican-held seats but face steeper structural hurdles. Traders assign Michigan the highest probability because its fundamentals and current survey trends position it as the most attainable outcome among the listed races ahead of November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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