Christian McCaffrey’s receiving touchdown production in the 2026 regular season hinges primarily on his durability and the 49ers’ approach to managing his workload after a league-high 413 touches in 2025. The 30-year-old back has a proven receiving role in Kyle Shanahan’s offense, evidenced by 102 receptions and seven receiving scores last year, but Week 1 featured a notable backfield split with rookie Kaelon Black and only five targets despite leading the team in that category. Preseason tightness and early cramps underscore ongoing health monitoring, which could limit red-zone opportunities and overall targets if usage is dialed back. The 49ers’ passing attack and McCaffrey’s route-running efficiency remain key variables that could sustain his typical volume if he stays available for the full schedule.